Development and Validation of a CT-Based Radiomics Nomogram in Patients With Anterior Mediastinal Mass: Individualized Options for Preoperative Patients

BACKGROUND: To improve the preoperative diagnostic accuracy and reduce the non-therapeutic thymectomy rate, we established a comprehensive predictive nomogram based on radiomics data and computed tomography (CT) features and further explored its potential use in clinical decision-making for anterior mediastinal masses (AMMs). METHODS: A total of 280 patients, including 280 with unenhanced CT (UECT) and 241 with contrast-enhanced CT (CECT) scans, all of whom had undergone thymectomy for AMM with confirmed histopathology, were enrolled in this study. A total of 1,288 radiomics features were extracted from each labeled mass. The least absolute shrinkage and selection operator model was used to select the optimal radiomics features in the training set to construct the radscore. Multivariate logistic regression analysis was conducted to establish a combined clinical radiographic radscore model, and an individualized prediction nomogram was developed. RESULTS: In the UECT dataset, radscore and the UECT ratio were selected for the nomogram. The combined model achieved higher accuracy (AUC: 0.870) than the clinical model (AUC: 0.752) for the prediction of therapeutic thymectomy probability. In the CECT dataset, the clinical and combined models achieved higher accuracy (AUC: 0.851 and 0.836, respectively) than the radscore model (AUC: 0.618) for the prediction of therapeutic thymectomy probability. CONCLUSIONS: In patients who underwent UECT only, a nomogram integrating the radscore and the UECT ratio achieved good accuracy in predicting therapeutic thymectomy in AMMs. However, the use of radiomics in patients with CECT scans did not improve prediction performance; therefore, a clinical model is recommended.