Prognostic meaning of right ventricular function and output reserve in patients with systemic sclerosis

BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to investigate the prognostic impact of right ventricular (RV) function at rest and during exercise in patients with systemic sclerosis (SSc) presenting for a screening for pulmonary hypertension (PH). METHODS: In this study, data from SSc patients who underwent routinely performed examinations for PH screening including echocardiography and right heart catheterization at rest and during exercise were analysed. Uni- and multivariable analyses were performed to identify prognostic parameters. RESULTS: Out of 280 SSc patients screened for PH, 225 were included in the analysis (81.3% female, mean age 58.1±13.0 years, 68% limited cutaneous SSc, WHO-FC II–III 74%, 24 manifest PH). During the observation period of 3.2±2.7 (median 2.6) years 35 patients died. Tricuspid annular plane systolic excursion (TAPSE) at rest <18 mm (p=0.001), RV output reserve as increase of cardiac index (CI) during exercise <2 l/min (p<0.0001), RV pulmonary vascular reserve (Δ mean pulmonary artery pressure/Δ cardiac output) ≥3 mmHg/l/min (p<0.0001), peak CI <5.5 l/min/m(2) (p=0.001), pulmonary arterial compliance <2 ml/mmHg (p=0.002), TAPSE/systolic pulmonary arterial pressure (sPAP) ratio ≤0.6 ml/mmHg (p<0.0001) and echocardiographic qualitative RV function at rest (p<0.0001) significantly predicted worse survival. In the multivariable analysis TAPSE/sPAP ratio and diffusion capacity for carbon monoxide ≤65% were identified as independent prognostic predictors and had 75% sensitivity and 69% specificity to predict future development of pulmonary vascular disease (PVD) during follow-up. CONCLUSIONS: This study demonstrates that assessment of RV function at rest and during exercise may provide crucial information to identify SSc patients who are at a high risk of poor outcome and for the development of PH and/or PVD.