The role of demographic and academic features in a student performance prediction

Educational Data Mining is widely used for predicting student's performance. It’s a challenging task because a plethora of features related to demographics, personality traits, socio-economic, and environmental may affect students' performance. Such varying features may depend on the level of study, program offered, nature of subject, and geographical location. This study attempted to predict the final semester’s results of students studying Doctor of Veterinary Medicine (DVM) based on their pre-admission academic achievements, demographics, and first semester performance. The imbalanced data led to non-generic prediction models, so it was addressed through synthetic minority oversampling technique. Among five prediction models, the Support Vector Machine led the best with 92% accuracy. The decision tree model identified key features affecting students’ performance. The analysis led to the conclusion that marks obtained in Biology, Islamiat, and Urdu at Matric and English at Intermediate level affected the students’ performance in their final semester. The findings provide useful information to predict students’ performance and guidelines for academic institutes’ management regarding improving students’ achievement. It is speculated that adoption of digital transformation may help reduce difficulty faced in data collection and analysis.