Machine learning with a snapshot of data: Spiking neural network ‘predicts’ reinforcement histories of pigeons' choice behavior

An accumulated body of choice research has demonstrated that choice behavior can be understood within the context of its history of reinforcement by measuring response patterns. Traditionally, work on predicting choice behaviors has been based on the relationship between the history of reinforcement—the reinforcer arrangement used in training conditions—and choice behavior. We suggest an alternative method that treats the reinforcement history as unknown and focuses only on operant choices to accurately predict (more precisely, retrodict) reinforcement histories. We trained machine learning models known as artificial spiking neural networks (SNNs) on previously published pigeon datasets to detect patterns in choices with specific reinforcement histories—seven arranged concurrent variable‐interval schedules in effect for nine reinforcers. Notably, SNN extracted information from a small ‘window’ of observational data to predict reinforcer arrangements. The models' generalization ability was then tested with new choices of the same pigeons to predict the type of schedule used in training. We examined whether the amount of the data provided affected the prediction accuracy and our results demonstrated that choices made by the pigeons immediately after the delivery of reinforcers provided sufficient information for the model to determine the reinforcement history. These results support the idea that SNNs can process small sets of behavioral data for pattern detection, when the reinforcement history is unknown. This novel approach can influence our decisions to determine appropriate interventions; it can be a valuable addition to our toolbox, for both therapy design and research.