Prediction of All-Cause Mortality Based on Stress/Rest Myocardial Perfusion Imaging (MPI) Using Deep Learning: A Comparison between Image and Frequency Spectra as Input

Background: Cardiovascular management and risk stratification of patients is an important issue in clinics. Patients who have experienced an adverse cardiac event are concerned for their future and want to know the survival probability. Methods: We trained eight state-of-the-art CNN models using polar maps of myocardial perfusion imaging (MPI), gender, lung/heart ratio, and patient age for 5-year survival prediction after an adverse cardiac event based on a cohort of 862 patients who had experienced adverse cardiac events and stress/rest MPIs. The CNN model outcome is to predict a patient’s survival 5 years after a cardiac event, i.e., two classes, either yes or no. Results: The best accuracy of all the CNN prediction models was 0.70 (median value), which resulted from ResNet-50V2, using image as the input in the baseline experiment. All the CNN models had better performance after using frequency spectra as the input. The accuracy increment was about 7~9%. Conclusions: This is the first trial to use pure rest/stress MPI polar maps and limited clinical data to predict patients’ 5-year survival based on CNN models and deep learning. The study shows the feasibility of using frequency spectra rather than images, which might increase the performance of CNNs.