Cargando…

Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species

Temporal correlations among demographic parameters can strongly influence population dynamics. Our empirical knowledge, however, is very limited regarding the direction and the magnitude of these correlations and how they vary among demographic parameters and species’ life histories. Here, we use lo...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Fay, Rémi, Hamel, Sandra, van de Pol, Martijn, Gaillard, Jean‐Michel, Yoccoz, Nigel G., Acker, Paul, Authier, Matthieu, Larue, Benjamin, Le Coeur, Christie, Macdonald, Kaitlin R., Nicol‐Harper, Alex, Barbraud, Christophe, Bonenfant, Christophe, Van Vuren, Dirk H., Cam, Emmanuelle, Delord, Karine, Gamelon, Marlène, Moiron, Maria, Pelletier, Fanie, Rotella, Jay, Teplitsky, Celine, Visser, Marcel E., Wells, Caitlin P., Wheelwright, Nathaniel T., Jenouvrier, Stéphanie, Sæther, Bernt‐Erik
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9323452/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35610546
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ele.14026
_version_ 1784756553961701376
author Fay, Rémi
Hamel, Sandra
van de Pol, Martijn
Gaillard, Jean‐Michel
Yoccoz, Nigel G.
Acker, Paul
Authier, Matthieu
Larue, Benjamin
Le Coeur, Christie
Macdonald, Kaitlin R.
Nicol‐Harper, Alex
Barbraud, Christophe
Bonenfant, Christophe
Van Vuren, Dirk H.
Cam, Emmanuelle
Delord, Karine
Gamelon, Marlène
Moiron, Maria
Pelletier, Fanie
Rotella, Jay
Teplitsky, Celine
Visser, Marcel E.
Wells, Caitlin P.
Wheelwright, Nathaniel T.
Jenouvrier, Stéphanie
Sæther, Bernt‐Erik
author_facet Fay, Rémi
Hamel, Sandra
van de Pol, Martijn
Gaillard, Jean‐Michel
Yoccoz, Nigel G.
Acker, Paul
Authier, Matthieu
Larue, Benjamin
Le Coeur, Christie
Macdonald, Kaitlin R.
Nicol‐Harper, Alex
Barbraud, Christophe
Bonenfant, Christophe
Van Vuren, Dirk H.
Cam, Emmanuelle
Delord, Karine
Gamelon, Marlène
Moiron, Maria
Pelletier, Fanie
Rotella, Jay
Teplitsky, Celine
Visser, Marcel E.
Wells, Caitlin P.
Wheelwright, Nathaniel T.
Jenouvrier, Stéphanie
Sæther, Bernt‐Erik
author_sort Fay, Rémi
collection PubMed
description Temporal correlations among demographic parameters can strongly influence population dynamics. Our empirical knowledge, however, is very limited regarding the direction and the magnitude of these correlations and how they vary among demographic parameters and species’ life histories. Here, we use long‐term demographic data from 15 bird and mammal species with contrasting pace of life to quantify correlation patterns among five key demographic parameters: juvenile and adult survival, reproductive probability, reproductive success and productivity. Correlations among demographic parameters were ubiquitous, more frequently positive than negative, but strongly differed across species. Correlations did not markedly change along the slow‐fast continuum of life histories, suggesting that they were more strongly driven by ecological than evolutionary factors. As positive temporal demographic correlations decrease the mean of the long‐run population growth rate, the common practice of ignoring temporal correlations in population models could lead to the underestimation of extinction risks in most species.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9323452
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher John Wiley and Sons Inc.
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-93234522022-07-30 Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species Fay, Rémi Hamel, Sandra van de Pol, Martijn Gaillard, Jean‐Michel Yoccoz, Nigel G. Acker, Paul Authier, Matthieu Larue, Benjamin Le Coeur, Christie Macdonald, Kaitlin R. Nicol‐Harper, Alex Barbraud, Christophe Bonenfant, Christophe Van Vuren, Dirk H. Cam, Emmanuelle Delord, Karine Gamelon, Marlène Moiron, Maria Pelletier, Fanie Rotella, Jay Teplitsky, Celine Visser, Marcel E. Wells, Caitlin P. Wheelwright, Nathaniel T. Jenouvrier, Stéphanie Sæther, Bernt‐Erik Ecol Lett Letters Temporal correlations among demographic parameters can strongly influence population dynamics. Our empirical knowledge, however, is very limited regarding the direction and the magnitude of these correlations and how they vary among demographic parameters and species’ life histories. Here, we use long‐term demographic data from 15 bird and mammal species with contrasting pace of life to quantify correlation patterns among five key demographic parameters: juvenile and adult survival, reproductive probability, reproductive success and productivity. Correlations among demographic parameters were ubiquitous, more frequently positive than negative, but strongly differed across species. Correlations did not markedly change along the slow‐fast continuum of life histories, suggesting that they were more strongly driven by ecological than evolutionary factors. As positive temporal demographic correlations decrease the mean of the long‐run population growth rate, the common practice of ignoring temporal correlations in population models could lead to the underestimation of extinction risks in most species. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022-05-24 2022-07 /pmc/articles/PMC9323452/ /pubmed/35610546 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ele.14026 Text en © 2022 The Authors. Ecology Letters published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Letters
Fay, Rémi
Hamel, Sandra
van de Pol, Martijn
Gaillard, Jean‐Michel
Yoccoz, Nigel G.
Acker, Paul
Authier, Matthieu
Larue, Benjamin
Le Coeur, Christie
Macdonald, Kaitlin R.
Nicol‐Harper, Alex
Barbraud, Christophe
Bonenfant, Christophe
Van Vuren, Dirk H.
Cam, Emmanuelle
Delord, Karine
Gamelon, Marlène
Moiron, Maria
Pelletier, Fanie
Rotella, Jay
Teplitsky, Celine
Visser, Marcel E.
Wells, Caitlin P.
Wheelwright, Nathaniel T.
Jenouvrier, Stéphanie
Sæther, Bernt‐Erik
Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species
title Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species
title_full Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species
title_fullStr Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species
title_full_unstemmed Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species
title_short Temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species
title_sort temporal correlations among demographic parameters are ubiquitous but highly variable across species
topic Letters
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9323452/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35610546
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/ele.14026
work_keys_str_mv AT fayremi temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT hamelsandra temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT vandepolmartijn temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT gaillardjeanmichel temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT yoccoznigelg temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT ackerpaul temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT authiermatthieu temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT laruebenjamin temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT lecoeurchristie temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT macdonaldkaitlinr temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT nicolharperalex temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT barbraudchristophe temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT bonenfantchristophe temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT vanvurendirkh temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT camemmanuelle temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT delordkarine temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT gamelonmarlene temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT moironmaria temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT pelletierfanie temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT rotellajay temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT teplitskyceline temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT vissermarcele temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT wellscaitlinp temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT wheelwrightnathanielt temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT jenouvrierstephanie temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies
AT sætherbernterik temporalcorrelationsamongdemographicparametersareubiquitousbuthighlyvariableacrossspecies