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Hourly Seamless Surface O(3) Estimates by Integrating the Chemical Transport and Machine Learning Models in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region

Surface ozone (O(3)) is an important atmospheric trace gas, posing an enormous threat to ecological security and human health. Currently, the core objective of air pollution control in China is to realize the joint treatment of fine particulate matter (PM(2.5)) and O(3). However, high-accuracy near-...

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Autores principales: Xue, Wenhao, Zhang, Jing, Hu, Xiaomin, Yang, Zhe, Wei, Jing
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9324222/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35886364
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19148511
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author Xue, Wenhao
Zhang, Jing
Hu, Xiaomin
Yang, Zhe
Wei, Jing
author_facet Xue, Wenhao
Zhang, Jing
Hu, Xiaomin
Yang, Zhe
Wei, Jing
author_sort Xue, Wenhao
collection PubMed
description Surface ozone (O(3)) is an important atmospheric trace gas, posing an enormous threat to ecological security and human health. Currently, the core objective of air pollution control in China is to realize the joint treatment of fine particulate matter (PM(2.5)) and O(3). However, high-accuracy near-surface O(3) maps remain lacking. Therefore, we established a new model to determine the full-coverage hourly O(3) concentration with the WRF-Chem and random forest (RF) models combined with anthropogenic emission data and meteorological datasets. Based on this method, choosing the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region in 2018 as an example, full-coverage hourly O(3) maps were generated at a horizontal resolution of 9 km. The performance evaluation results indicated that the new model is reliable with a sample (station)-based 10-fold cross-validation (10-CV) R(2) value of 0.94 (0.90) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 14.58 (19.18) µg m(−3). In addition, the estimated O(3) concentration is accurately determined at varying temporal scales with sample-based 10-CV R(2) values of 0.96, 0.98 and 0.98 at the daily, monthly, and seasonal scales, respectively, which is highly superior to traditional derivation algorithms and other techniques in previous studies. An initial increase and subsequent decrease, which constitute the diurnal variation in the O(3) concentration associated with temperature and solar radiation variations, were captured. The highest concentration reached approximately 112.73 ± 9.65 μg m(−3) at 15:00 local time (1500 LT) in the BTH region. Summertime O(3) posed a high pollution risk across the whole BTH region, especially in southern cities, and the pollution duration accounted for more than 50% of the summer season. Additionally, 43 and two days exhibited light and moderate O(3) pollution, respectively, across the BTH region in 2018. Overall, the new method can be beneficial for near-surface O(3) estimation with a high spatiotemporal resolution, which can be valuable for research in related fields.
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spelling pubmed-93242222022-07-27 Hourly Seamless Surface O(3) Estimates by Integrating the Chemical Transport and Machine Learning Models in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region Xue, Wenhao Zhang, Jing Hu, Xiaomin Yang, Zhe Wei, Jing Int J Environ Res Public Health Article Surface ozone (O(3)) is an important atmospheric trace gas, posing an enormous threat to ecological security and human health. Currently, the core objective of air pollution control in China is to realize the joint treatment of fine particulate matter (PM(2.5)) and O(3). However, high-accuracy near-surface O(3) maps remain lacking. Therefore, we established a new model to determine the full-coverage hourly O(3) concentration with the WRF-Chem and random forest (RF) models combined with anthropogenic emission data and meteorological datasets. Based on this method, choosing the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei (BTH) region in 2018 as an example, full-coverage hourly O(3) maps were generated at a horizontal resolution of 9 km. The performance evaluation results indicated that the new model is reliable with a sample (station)-based 10-fold cross-validation (10-CV) R(2) value of 0.94 (0.90) and root mean square error (RMSE) of 14.58 (19.18) µg m(−3). In addition, the estimated O(3) concentration is accurately determined at varying temporal scales with sample-based 10-CV R(2) values of 0.96, 0.98 and 0.98 at the daily, monthly, and seasonal scales, respectively, which is highly superior to traditional derivation algorithms and other techniques in previous studies. An initial increase and subsequent decrease, which constitute the diurnal variation in the O(3) concentration associated with temperature and solar radiation variations, were captured. The highest concentration reached approximately 112.73 ± 9.65 μg m(−3) at 15:00 local time (1500 LT) in the BTH region. Summertime O(3) posed a high pollution risk across the whole BTH region, especially in southern cities, and the pollution duration accounted for more than 50% of the summer season. Additionally, 43 and two days exhibited light and moderate O(3) pollution, respectively, across the BTH region in 2018. Overall, the new method can be beneficial for near-surface O(3) estimation with a high spatiotemporal resolution, which can be valuable for research in related fields. MDPI 2022-07-12 /pmc/articles/PMC9324222/ /pubmed/35886364 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19148511 Text en © 2022 by the authors. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
Xue, Wenhao
Zhang, Jing
Hu, Xiaomin
Yang, Zhe
Wei, Jing
Hourly Seamless Surface O(3) Estimates by Integrating the Chemical Transport and Machine Learning Models in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
title Hourly Seamless Surface O(3) Estimates by Integrating the Chemical Transport and Machine Learning Models in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
title_full Hourly Seamless Surface O(3) Estimates by Integrating the Chemical Transport and Machine Learning Models in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
title_fullStr Hourly Seamless Surface O(3) Estimates by Integrating the Chemical Transport and Machine Learning Models in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
title_full_unstemmed Hourly Seamless Surface O(3) Estimates by Integrating the Chemical Transport and Machine Learning Models in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
title_short Hourly Seamless Surface O(3) Estimates by Integrating the Chemical Transport and Machine Learning Models in the Beijing-Tianjin-Hebei Region
title_sort hourly seamless surface o(3) estimates by integrating the chemical transport and machine learning models in the beijing-tianjin-hebei region
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9324222/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35886364
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/ijerph19148511
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