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Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic()

This paper develops an approach to optimize a vaccine distribution network design through a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model with two objectives: minimizing the total expected number of deaths among the population and minimizing the total distribution cost of the vaccination campaign. Addit...

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Autores principales: Mohammadi, Mehrdad, Dehghan, Milad, Pirayesh, Amir, Dolgui, Alexandre
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9330510/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35915776
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2022.102725
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author Mohammadi, Mehrdad
Dehghan, Milad
Pirayesh, Amir
Dolgui, Alexandre
author_facet Mohammadi, Mehrdad
Dehghan, Milad
Pirayesh, Amir
Dolgui, Alexandre
author_sort Mohammadi, Mehrdad
collection PubMed
description This paper develops an approach to optimize a vaccine distribution network design through a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model with two objectives: minimizing the total expected number of deaths among the population and minimizing the total distribution cost of the vaccination campaign. Additionally, we assume that a set of input parameters (e.g., death rate, social contacts, vaccine supply, etc.) is uncertain, and the distribution network is exposed to disruptions. We then investigate the resilience of the distribution network through a scenario-based robust-stochastic optimization approach. The proposed model is linearized and finally validated through a real case study of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign in France. We show that the current vaccination strategies are not optimal, and vaccination prioritization among the population and the equity of vaccine distribution depend on other factors than those conceived by health policymakers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a vaccination strategy mixing the population prioritization and the quarantine restrictions leads to an 8.5% decrease in the total number of deaths.
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spelling pubmed-93305102022-07-28 Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic() Mohammadi, Mehrdad Dehghan, Milad Pirayesh, Amir Dolgui, Alexandre Omega Article This paper develops an approach to optimize a vaccine distribution network design through a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model with two objectives: minimizing the total expected number of deaths among the population and minimizing the total distribution cost of the vaccination campaign. Additionally, we assume that a set of input parameters (e.g., death rate, social contacts, vaccine supply, etc.) is uncertain, and the distribution network is exposed to disruptions. We then investigate the resilience of the distribution network through a scenario-based robust-stochastic optimization approach. The proposed model is linearized and finally validated through a real case study of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign in France. We show that the current vaccination strategies are not optimal, and vaccination prioritization among the population and the equity of vaccine distribution depend on other factors than those conceived by health policymakers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a vaccination strategy mixing the population prioritization and the quarantine restrictions leads to an 8.5% decrease in the total number of deaths. Elsevier Ltd. 2022-12 2022-07-28 /pmc/articles/PMC9330510/ /pubmed/35915776 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2022.102725 Text en © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Mohammadi, Mehrdad
Dehghan, Milad
Pirayesh, Amir
Dolgui, Alexandre
Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic()
title Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic()
title_full Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic()
title_fullStr Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic()
title_full_unstemmed Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic()
title_short Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic()
title_sort bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the covid‐19 pandemic()
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9330510/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35915776
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2022.102725
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