Cargando…
Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic()
This paper develops an approach to optimize a vaccine distribution network design through a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model with two objectives: minimizing the total expected number of deaths among the population and minimizing the total distribution cost of the vaccination campaign. Addit...
Autores principales: | , , , |
---|---|
Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Ltd.
2022
|
Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9330510/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35915776 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2022.102725 |
_version_ | 1784758179096166400 |
---|---|
author | Mohammadi, Mehrdad Dehghan, Milad Pirayesh, Amir Dolgui, Alexandre |
author_facet | Mohammadi, Mehrdad Dehghan, Milad Pirayesh, Amir Dolgui, Alexandre |
author_sort | Mohammadi, Mehrdad |
collection | PubMed |
description | This paper develops an approach to optimize a vaccine distribution network design through a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model with two objectives: minimizing the total expected number of deaths among the population and minimizing the total distribution cost of the vaccination campaign. Additionally, we assume that a set of input parameters (e.g., death rate, social contacts, vaccine supply, etc.) is uncertain, and the distribution network is exposed to disruptions. We then investigate the resilience of the distribution network through a scenario-based robust-stochastic optimization approach. The proposed model is linearized and finally validated through a real case study of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign in France. We show that the current vaccination strategies are not optimal, and vaccination prioritization among the population and the equity of vaccine distribution depend on other factors than those conceived by health policymakers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a vaccination strategy mixing the population prioritization and the quarantine restrictions leads to an 8.5% decrease in the total number of deaths. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9330510 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Elsevier Ltd. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-93305102022-07-28 Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic() Mohammadi, Mehrdad Dehghan, Milad Pirayesh, Amir Dolgui, Alexandre Omega Article This paper develops an approach to optimize a vaccine distribution network design through a mixed-integer nonlinear programming model with two objectives: minimizing the total expected number of deaths among the population and minimizing the total distribution cost of the vaccination campaign. Additionally, we assume that a set of input parameters (e.g., death rate, social contacts, vaccine supply, etc.) is uncertain, and the distribution network is exposed to disruptions. We then investigate the resilience of the distribution network through a scenario-based robust-stochastic optimization approach. The proposed model is linearized and finally validated through a real case study of the COVID-19 vaccination campaign in France. We show that the current vaccination strategies are not optimal, and vaccination prioritization among the population and the equity of vaccine distribution depend on other factors than those conceived by health policymakers. Furthermore, we demonstrate that a vaccination strategy mixing the population prioritization and the quarantine restrictions leads to an 8.5% decrease in the total number of deaths. Elsevier Ltd. 2022-12 2022-07-28 /pmc/articles/PMC9330510/ /pubmed/35915776 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2022.102725 Text en © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Mohammadi, Mehrdad Dehghan, Milad Pirayesh, Amir Dolgui, Alexandre Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic() |
title | Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic() |
title_full | Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic() |
title_fullStr | Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic() |
title_full_unstemmed | Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic() |
title_short | Bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the COVID‐19 pandemic() |
title_sort | bi‐objective optimization of a stochastic resilient vaccine distribution network in the context of the covid‐19 pandemic() |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9330510/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35915776 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.omega.2022.102725 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT mohammadimehrdad biobjectiveoptimizationofastochasticresilientvaccinedistributionnetworkinthecontextofthecovid19pandemic AT dehghanmilad biobjectiveoptimizationofastochasticresilientvaccinedistributionnetworkinthecontextofthecovid19pandemic AT pirayeshamir biobjectiveoptimizationofastochasticresilientvaccinedistributionnetworkinthecontextofthecovid19pandemic AT dolguialexandre biobjectiveoptimizationofastochasticresilientvaccinedistributionnetworkinthecontextofthecovid19pandemic |