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Risk Analysis of A-H Share Connect Market Based on Deep Learning and BP Neural Network

China's Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect programs make it possible for investors to trade stocks within specified limits through the two stock exchanges. The A-H share exchange stock market is crucial to the opening of the Mainland market, but few studies ha...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Cui, Rumeng, Chen, Wen
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Hindawi 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9334109/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35909840
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1921463
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author Cui, Rumeng
Chen, Wen
author_facet Cui, Rumeng
Chen, Wen
author_sort Cui, Rumeng
collection PubMed
description China's Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect programs make it possible for investors to trade stocks within specified limits through the two stock exchanges. The A-H share exchange stock market is crucial to the opening of the Mainland market, but few studies have paid attention to the market risks of such stocks. Using deep learning and BP neural network algorithm, this study constructs a three-dimensional A-H share interconnection market risk prediction index system including stock price fundamental indicators, technical indicators, and macro indicators based on the CES300 Index. Taking the CES300 Index return as the output layer indicator, a BP neural network with a 21-10-1 structure is constructed, and the tan-sigmoid transfer function and the LM optimization algorithm training function are used for network training to predict the return of the A-H share interconnected stock market. The mean square error (MSE) converges to 10(−6), and the goodness of fit R reaches 0.9928 and validates the prediction accuracy of the BP neural network model. It provides an efficient and accurate risk prediction model for the A-H share interconnected market, which facilitates the interactive development of the Mainland and Hong Kong markets.
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spelling pubmed-93341092022-07-29 Risk Analysis of A-H Share Connect Market Based on Deep Learning and BP Neural Network Cui, Rumeng Chen, Wen Comput Intell Neurosci Research Article China's Shanghai-Hong Kong Stock Connect and Shenzhen-Hong Kong Stock Connect programs make it possible for investors to trade stocks within specified limits through the two stock exchanges. The A-H share exchange stock market is crucial to the opening of the Mainland market, but few studies have paid attention to the market risks of such stocks. Using deep learning and BP neural network algorithm, this study constructs a three-dimensional A-H share interconnection market risk prediction index system including stock price fundamental indicators, technical indicators, and macro indicators based on the CES300 Index. Taking the CES300 Index return as the output layer indicator, a BP neural network with a 21-10-1 structure is constructed, and the tan-sigmoid transfer function and the LM optimization algorithm training function are used for network training to predict the return of the A-H share interconnected stock market. The mean square error (MSE) converges to 10(−6), and the goodness of fit R reaches 0.9928 and validates the prediction accuracy of the BP neural network model. It provides an efficient and accurate risk prediction model for the A-H share interconnected market, which facilitates the interactive development of the Mainland and Hong Kong markets. Hindawi 2022-07-21 /pmc/articles/PMC9334109/ /pubmed/35909840 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1921463 Text en Copyright © 2022 Rumeng Cui and Wen Chen. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Cui, Rumeng
Chen, Wen
Risk Analysis of A-H Share Connect Market Based on Deep Learning and BP Neural Network
title Risk Analysis of A-H Share Connect Market Based on Deep Learning and BP Neural Network
title_full Risk Analysis of A-H Share Connect Market Based on Deep Learning and BP Neural Network
title_fullStr Risk Analysis of A-H Share Connect Market Based on Deep Learning and BP Neural Network
title_full_unstemmed Risk Analysis of A-H Share Connect Market Based on Deep Learning and BP Neural Network
title_short Risk Analysis of A-H Share Connect Market Based on Deep Learning and BP Neural Network
title_sort risk analysis of a-h share connect market based on deep learning and bp neural network
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9334109/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35909840
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/1921463
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