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How does decision-making change during challenging times?

Prospect Theory, proposed and developed by Kahneman and Tversky, demonstrated that people do not make rational decisions based on expected utility, but are instead biased by specific cognitive tendencies leading to neglect, under- or over- consider information, depending on the context of presentati...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Cicerale, Alessandro, Blanzieri, Enrico, Sacco, Katiuscia
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Public Library of Science 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9337702/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35905131
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270117
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author Cicerale, Alessandro
Blanzieri, Enrico
Sacco, Katiuscia
author_facet Cicerale, Alessandro
Blanzieri, Enrico
Sacco, Katiuscia
author_sort Cicerale, Alessandro
collection PubMed
description Prospect Theory, proposed and developed by Kahneman and Tversky, demonstrated that people do not make rational decisions based on expected utility, but are instead biased by specific cognitive tendencies leading to neglect, under- or over- consider information, depending on the context of presentation. In this vein, the present paper focuses on whether and how individual decision-making attitudes are prone to change in the presence of globally challenging events. We ran three partial replications of the Kahneman and Tversky (1979) paper, focusing on a set of eight prospects, after a terror attack (Paris, November 2015, 134 subjects) and during the Covid-19 pandemic, both during the first lockdown in Italy (Spring 2020, 176 subjects) and after the first reopening (140 subjects). The results confirm patterns of choice characterizing uncertain times, as shown by previous literature. In particular, we note significant increase of risk aversion, both in the gain and in the loss domains, that consistently emerged in the three replications. Given the nature of our sample, and the heterogeneity between the three periods investigated, we suggest that the phenomenon we present can be explained stress-related effects on decision making rather than by other economic effects, such as the income effect.
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spelling pubmed-93377022022-07-30 How does decision-making change during challenging times? Cicerale, Alessandro Blanzieri, Enrico Sacco, Katiuscia PLoS One Research Article Prospect Theory, proposed and developed by Kahneman and Tversky, demonstrated that people do not make rational decisions based on expected utility, but are instead biased by specific cognitive tendencies leading to neglect, under- or over- consider information, depending on the context of presentation. In this vein, the present paper focuses on whether and how individual decision-making attitudes are prone to change in the presence of globally challenging events. We ran three partial replications of the Kahneman and Tversky (1979) paper, focusing on a set of eight prospects, after a terror attack (Paris, November 2015, 134 subjects) and during the Covid-19 pandemic, both during the first lockdown in Italy (Spring 2020, 176 subjects) and after the first reopening (140 subjects). The results confirm patterns of choice characterizing uncertain times, as shown by previous literature. In particular, we note significant increase of risk aversion, both in the gain and in the loss domains, that consistently emerged in the three replications. Given the nature of our sample, and the heterogeneity between the three periods investigated, we suggest that the phenomenon we present can be explained stress-related effects on decision making rather than by other economic effects, such as the income effect. Public Library of Science 2022-07-29 /pmc/articles/PMC9337702/ /pubmed/35905131 http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270117 Text en © 2022 Cicerale et al https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) , which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Cicerale, Alessandro
Blanzieri, Enrico
Sacco, Katiuscia
How does decision-making change during challenging times?
title How does decision-making change during challenging times?
title_full How does decision-making change during challenging times?
title_fullStr How does decision-making change during challenging times?
title_full_unstemmed How does decision-making change during challenging times?
title_short How does decision-making change during challenging times?
title_sort how does decision-making change during challenging times?
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9337702/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35905131
http://dx.doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0270117
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