5-year risk of “adult-onset” chronic diseases during childhood and adolescent transitioning for individuals with cerebral palsy

Epidemiologic evidence documenting risk of chronic diseases as children with cerebral palsy age throughout growth is lacking to inform prevention strategies. The objective was to characterize the 5-year risk of chronic diseases that are typically associated with advanced aging among < 1–13 year olds with cerebral palsy and effects by patient-level factors. This retrospective cohort study used nationwide commercial administrative claims from 01/01/2001–12/31/2018 from children < 1–13 years old with ≥ 5 years of mostly continuous insurance enrollment. The 5-year risk of chronic diseases was examined for the entire cohort with and without cerebral palsy and then by baseline age group (<1–2, 3–5, 6–8, 9–11, 12–13 years old), including cardiorespiratory, metabolic, kidney, and liver diseases, cancer, depression, and osteoarthritis. For cerebral palsy, the association between 5-year chronic disease rate and patient-level factors was assessed using Cox regression. Children with (n = 5,559) vs without (n = 2.3 million) cerebral palsy had a higher 5-year risk of all chronic diseases when comparing the entire cohorts (relative risk, 1.19 to 64.26, all P < 0.05) and most chronic diseases when comparing cohorts for each age group. Among children with cerebral palsy, there were effects by gender, co-occurring intellectual disabilities and/or epilepsy, and wheelchair use for some chronic diseases, which can help to identify at-risk children. This study provides novel epidemiologic evidence of 5-year risk of “adult-onset” chronic diseases for children with cerebral palsy during important developmental stages, and associated patient-level factors (to enhance clinical detection). Findings may inform when to implement prevention strategies and who may be more at risk.