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The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy

After a preliminary explanation as to how I came to know Andy Grieve and some remarks about his career and mine and how they have intersected, I consider the design and analysis of trials of vaccines for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy. Five large trials, run by the sponsors Pfizer/B...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Senn, Stephen
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9350415/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35819115
http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pst.2226
Descripción
Sumario:After a preliminary explanation as to how I came to know Andy Grieve and some remarks about his career and mine and how they have intersected, I consider the design and analysis of trials of vaccines for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy. Five large trials, run by the sponsors Pfizer/BioNTech, AstraZeneca/Oxford University, Moderna, Novavax and J&J Janssen are considered briefly. Frequentist approaches to analysis were used for four of the trials but Pfizer/BioNTech nominated a Bayesian approach. The design and analysis of this trial is considered in some detail, in particular as regards the choice of prior distribution. I conclude by drawing some general lessons.