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The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy
After a preliminary explanation as to how I came to know Andy Grieve and some remarks about his career and mine and how they have intersected, I consider the design and analysis of trials of vaccines for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy. Five large trials, run by the sponsors Pfizer/B...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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John Wiley & Sons, Inc.
2022
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9350415/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35819115 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pst.2226 |
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author | Senn, Stephen |
author_facet | Senn, Stephen |
author_sort | Senn, Stephen |
collection | PubMed |
description | After a preliminary explanation as to how I came to know Andy Grieve and some remarks about his career and mine and how they have intersected, I consider the design and analysis of trials of vaccines for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy. Five large trials, run by the sponsors Pfizer/BioNTech, AstraZeneca/Oxford University, Moderna, Novavax and J&J Janssen are considered briefly. Frequentist approaches to analysis were used for four of the trials but Pfizer/BioNTech nominated a Bayesian approach. The design and analysis of this trial is considered in some detail, in particular as regards the choice of prior distribution. I conclude by drawing some general lessons. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9350415 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | John Wiley & Sons, Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-93504152022-08-04 The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy Senn, Stephen Pharm Stat Special Issue Papers After a preliminary explanation as to how I came to know Andy Grieve and some remarks about his career and mine and how they have intersected, I consider the design and analysis of trials of vaccines for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy. Five large trials, run by the sponsors Pfizer/BioNTech, AstraZeneca/Oxford University, Moderna, Novavax and J&J Janssen are considered briefly. Frequentist approaches to analysis were used for four of the trials but Pfizer/BioNTech nominated a Bayesian approach. The design and analysis of this trial is considered in some detail, in particular as regards the choice of prior distribution. I conclude by drawing some general lessons. John Wiley & Sons, Inc. 2022-07-12 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9350415/ /pubmed/35819115 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pst.2226 Text en © 2022 The Author. Pharmaceutical Statistics published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/) License, which permits use and distribution in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited, the use is non‐commercial and no modifications or adaptations are made. |
spellingShingle | Special Issue Papers Senn, Stephen The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy |
title | The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy |
title_full | The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy |
title_fullStr | The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy |
title_full_unstemmed | The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy |
title_short | The design and analysis of vaccine trials for COVID‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy |
title_sort | design and analysis of vaccine trials for covid‐19 for the purpose of estimating efficacy |
topic | Special Issue Papers |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9350415/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35819115 http://dx.doi.org/10.1002/pst.2226 |
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