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Prediction of COVID-19 Data Using Hybrid Modeling Approaches

A major emphasis is the dissemination of COVID-19 across the country's many regions and provinces. Using the present COVID-19 pandemic as a guide, the researchers suggest a hybrid model architecture for analyzing and optimizing COVID-19 data during the complete country. The analysis of COVID-19...

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Autores principales: Zhao, Weiping, Sun, Yunpeng, Li, Ying, Guan, Weimin
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Frontiers Media S.A. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9354929/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35937245
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.923978
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author Zhao, Weiping
Sun, Yunpeng
Li, Ying
Guan, Weimin
author_facet Zhao, Weiping
Sun, Yunpeng
Li, Ying
Guan, Weimin
author_sort Zhao, Weiping
collection PubMed
description A major emphasis is the dissemination of COVID-19 across the country's many regions and provinces. Using the present COVID-19 pandemic as a guide, the researchers suggest a hybrid model architecture for analyzing and optimizing COVID-19 data during the complete country. The analysis of COVID-19's exploration and death rate uses an ARIMA model with susceptible-infectious-removed and susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) models. The logistic model's failure to forecast the number of confirmed diagnoses and the snags of the SEIR model's too many tuning parameters are both addressed by a hybrid model method. Logistic regression (LR), Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model (ARIMA), support vector regression (SVR), multilayer perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU), and long short-term memory (LSTM) are utilized for the same purpose. Root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error are used to show these models. New COVID-19 cases, the number of quarantines, mortality rates, and the deployment of public self-protection measures to reduce the epidemic are all outlined in the study's findings. Government officials can use the findings to guide future illness prevention and control choices.
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spelling pubmed-93549292022-08-06 Prediction of COVID-19 Data Using Hybrid Modeling Approaches Zhao, Weiping Sun, Yunpeng Li, Ying Guan, Weimin Front Public Health Public Health A major emphasis is the dissemination of COVID-19 across the country's many regions and provinces. Using the present COVID-19 pandemic as a guide, the researchers suggest a hybrid model architecture for analyzing and optimizing COVID-19 data during the complete country. The analysis of COVID-19's exploration and death rate uses an ARIMA model with susceptible-infectious-removed and susceptible-exposed-infectious-removed (SEIR) models. The logistic model's failure to forecast the number of confirmed diagnoses and the snags of the SEIR model's too many tuning parameters are both addressed by a hybrid model method. Logistic regression (LR), Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model (ARIMA), support vector regression (SVR), multilayer perceptron (MLP), Recurrent Neural Networks (RNN), Gate Recurrent Unit (GRU), and long short-term memory (LSTM) are utilized for the same purpose. Root mean square error, mean absolute error, and mean absolute percentage error are used to show these models. New COVID-19 cases, the number of quarantines, mortality rates, and the deployment of public self-protection measures to reduce the epidemic are all outlined in the study's findings. Government officials can use the findings to guide future illness prevention and control choices. Frontiers Media S.A. 2022-07-22 /pmc/articles/PMC9354929/ /pubmed/35937245 http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.923978 Text en Copyright © 2022 Zhao, Sun, Li and Guan. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License (CC BY). The use, distribution or reproduction in other forums is permitted, provided the original author(s) and the copyright owner(s) are credited and that the original publication in this journal is cited, in accordance with accepted academic practice. No use, distribution or reproduction is permitted which does not comply with these terms.
spellingShingle Public Health
Zhao, Weiping
Sun, Yunpeng
Li, Ying
Guan, Weimin
Prediction of COVID-19 Data Using Hybrid Modeling Approaches
title Prediction of COVID-19 Data Using Hybrid Modeling Approaches
title_full Prediction of COVID-19 Data Using Hybrid Modeling Approaches
title_fullStr Prediction of COVID-19 Data Using Hybrid Modeling Approaches
title_full_unstemmed Prediction of COVID-19 Data Using Hybrid Modeling Approaches
title_short Prediction of COVID-19 Data Using Hybrid Modeling Approaches
title_sort prediction of covid-19 data using hybrid modeling approaches
topic Public Health
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9354929/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35937245
http://dx.doi.org/10.3389/fpubh.2022.923978
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