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The Prediction of Enterprise Stock Change Trend by Deep Neural Network Model

This study aims to accurately predict the changing trend of stocks in stock trading so that company investors can obtain higher returns. In building a financial forecasting model, historical data and learned parameters are used to predict future stock prices. Firstly, the relevant theories of stock...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Ma, Guifen, Chen, Ping, Liu, Zhaoshan, Liu, Jia
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Hindawi 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9363192/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35958787
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/9193055
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author Ma, Guifen
Chen, Ping
Liu, Zhaoshan
Liu, Jia
author_facet Ma, Guifen
Chen, Ping
Liu, Zhaoshan
Liu, Jia
author_sort Ma, Guifen
collection PubMed
description This study aims to accurately predict the changing trend of stocks in stock trading so that company investors can obtain higher returns. In building a financial forecasting model, historical data and learned parameters are used to predict future stock prices. Firstly, the relevant theories of stock forecasting are discussed, and problems in stock forecasting are raised. Secondly, the inadequacies of deep neural network (DNN) models are discussed. A prediction trend model of enterprise stock is established based on long short-term memory (LSTM). The uniqueness and innovation lie in using the stock returns of Bank of China securities in 2022 as the training data set. LSTM prediction models are used to perform error analysis on company data training. The 20-day change trend of the company's stock returns under different models is predicted and analyzed. The results show that as the number of iterations increases, the loss rate of the LSTM training curve keeps decreasing until 0. The average return price of the LSTM prediction model is 14.01. This figure is closest to the average real return price of 13.89. Through the forecast trend analysis under different models, LSTM predicts that the stock change trend of the enterprise model is closest to the changing trend of the actual earnings price. The prediction accuracy is better than other prediction models. In addition, this study explores the characteristics of high noise and complexity of corporate stock time series, designs a DNN prediction model, and verifies the feasibility of the LSTM model to predict corporate stock changes with high accuracy.
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spelling pubmed-93631922022-08-10 The Prediction of Enterprise Stock Change Trend by Deep Neural Network Model Ma, Guifen Chen, Ping Liu, Zhaoshan Liu, Jia Comput Intell Neurosci Research Article This study aims to accurately predict the changing trend of stocks in stock trading so that company investors can obtain higher returns. In building a financial forecasting model, historical data and learned parameters are used to predict future stock prices. Firstly, the relevant theories of stock forecasting are discussed, and problems in stock forecasting are raised. Secondly, the inadequacies of deep neural network (DNN) models are discussed. A prediction trend model of enterprise stock is established based on long short-term memory (LSTM). The uniqueness and innovation lie in using the stock returns of Bank of China securities in 2022 as the training data set. LSTM prediction models are used to perform error analysis on company data training. The 20-day change trend of the company's stock returns under different models is predicted and analyzed. The results show that as the number of iterations increases, the loss rate of the LSTM training curve keeps decreasing until 0. The average return price of the LSTM prediction model is 14.01. This figure is closest to the average real return price of 13.89. Through the forecast trend analysis under different models, LSTM predicts that the stock change trend of the enterprise model is closest to the changing trend of the actual earnings price. The prediction accuracy is better than other prediction models. In addition, this study explores the characteristics of high noise and complexity of corporate stock time series, designs a DNN prediction model, and verifies the feasibility of the LSTM model to predict corporate stock changes with high accuracy. Hindawi 2022-08-02 /pmc/articles/PMC9363192/ /pubmed/35958787 http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/9193055 Text en Copyright © 2022 Guifen Ma et al. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/This is an open access article distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Research Article
Ma, Guifen
Chen, Ping
Liu, Zhaoshan
Liu, Jia
The Prediction of Enterprise Stock Change Trend by Deep Neural Network Model
title The Prediction of Enterprise Stock Change Trend by Deep Neural Network Model
title_full The Prediction of Enterprise Stock Change Trend by Deep Neural Network Model
title_fullStr The Prediction of Enterprise Stock Change Trend by Deep Neural Network Model
title_full_unstemmed The Prediction of Enterprise Stock Change Trend by Deep Neural Network Model
title_short The Prediction of Enterprise Stock Change Trend by Deep Neural Network Model
title_sort prediction of enterprise stock change trend by deep neural network model
topic Research Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9363192/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35958787
http://dx.doi.org/10.1155/2022/9193055
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