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Does political risk undermine environment and economic development in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from China–Pakistan economic corridor
China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) invests [Formula: see text] billion in Pakistan’s energy, infrastructure, and other development projects to step toward Eurasia’s economic integration. However, CPEC may exacerbate climate change vulnerabilities for Pakistan’s struggling economy due to potenti...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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Springer US
2022
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9364864/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10644-022-09434-z |
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author | Ashraf, Junaid |
author_facet | Ashraf, Junaid |
author_sort | Ashraf, Junaid |
collection | PubMed |
description | China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) invests [Formula: see text] billion in Pakistan’s energy, infrastructure, and other development projects to step toward Eurasia’s economic integration. However, CPEC may exacerbate climate change vulnerabilities for Pakistan’s struggling economy due to potential environmental hazards and consequences. In this context, the current study seeks to examine the impact of political risk on carbon emissions and economic growth in Pakistan while also considering the relevance of trade openness, Chinese outward Foreign Direct Investment [Formula: see text] , and One Belt One Road [Formula: see text] policy. To investigate this impact, we use the autoregressive distributed lag technique to cointegration and the fully modified ordinary least squares estimator for robustness results, using data spanning [Formula: see text] . Our empirical findings reveal that trade openness, FDI, and OBOR policy contribute to pollution and economic growth, but political stability slows the rate of environmental deterioration and increases economic growth. Furthermore, the existence of robust political stability mitigates the negative impacts of FDI and trade openness on the environment, while strong political stability aids the positive effects of FDI and trade openness on economic growth. Also, the findings confirmed that a better political environment promotes economic development while simultaneously lowering carbon emissions. Our results may assist the Government of Pakistan in transforming [Formula: see text] into a model green [Formula: see text] initiative in the region. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9364864 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Springer US |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-93648642022-08-10 Does political risk undermine environment and economic development in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from China–Pakistan economic corridor Ashraf, Junaid Econ Change Restruct Article China–Pakistan Economic Corridor (CPEC) invests [Formula: see text] billion in Pakistan’s energy, infrastructure, and other development projects to step toward Eurasia’s economic integration. However, CPEC may exacerbate climate change vulnerabilities for Pakistan’s struggling economy due to potential environmental hazards and consequences. In this context, the current study seeks to examine the impact of political risk on carbon emissions and economic growth in Pakistan while also considering the relevance of trade openness, Chinese outward Foreign Direct Investment [Formula: see text] , and One Belt One Road [Formula: see text] policy. To investigate this impact, we use the autoregressive distributed lag technique to cointegration and the fully modified ordinary least squares estimator for robustness results, using data spanning [Formula: see text] . Our empirical findings reveal that trade openness, FDI, and OBOR policy contribute to pollution and economic growth, but political stability slows the rate of environmental deterioration and increases economic growth. Furthermore, the existence of robust political stability mitigates the negative impacts of FDI and trade openness on the environment, while strong political stability aids the positive effects of FDI and trade openness on economic growth. Also, the findings confirmed that a better political environment promotes economic development while simultaneously lowering carbon emissions. Our results may assist the Government of Pakistan in transforming [Formula: see text] into a model green [Formula: see text] initiative in the region. Springer US 2022-08-10 2023 /pmc/articles/PMC9364864/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10644-022-09434-z Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to Springer Science+Business Media, LLC, part of Springer Nature 2022, Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Article Ashraf, Junaid Does political risk undermine environment and economic development in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from China–Pakistan economic corridor |
title | Does political risk undermine environment and economic development in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from China–Pakistan economic corridor |
title_full | Does political risk undermine environment and economic development in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from China–Pakistan economic corridor |
title_fullStr | Does political risk undermine environment and economic development in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from China–Pakistan economic corridor |
title_full_unstemmed | Does political risk undermine environment and economic development in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from China–Pakistan economic corridor |
title_short | Does political risk undermine environment and economic development in Pakistan? Empirical evidence from China–Pakistan economic corridor |
title_sort | does political risk undermine environment and economic development in pakistan? empirical evidence from china–pakistan economic corridor |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9364864/ http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10644-022-09434-z |
work_keys_str_mv | AT ashrafjunaid doespoliticalriskundermineenvironmentandeconomicdevelopmentinpakistanempiricalevidencefromchinapakistaneconomiccorridor |