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Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020

Notwithstanding the large availability of data and models, a consistent picture of the snow cover extent and duration changes in global mountain areas is lacking for long-term trends. Here, model data and satellite images are combined by using Artificial Neural Networks to generate a consistent time...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: Notarnicola, C.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9374742/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35962171
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-16743-w
Descripción
Sumario:Notwithstanding the large availability of data and models, a consistent picture of the snow cover extent and duration changes in global mountain areas is lacking for long-term trends. Here, model data and satellite images are combined by using Artificial Neural Networks to generate a consistent time series from 1982 to 2020 over global mountain areas. The analysis of the harmonized time series over 38 years indicates an overall negative trend of − 3.6% ± 2.7% for yearly snow cover extent and of − 15.1 days ± 11.6 days for snow cover duration. The most affected season by negative trends is winter with an average reduction in snow cover extent of − 11.5% ± 6.9%, and the most affected season by positive changes is spring with an average increase of 10% ± 5.9%, the latter mainly located in High Mountain Asia. The results indicated a shift in the snow regime located between the 80 s and 90 s of the previous century, where the period from 1982 to 1999 is characterized by a higher number of areas with significant changes and a higher rate of changes with respect to the period 2000–2020. This quantification can lead to a more accurate evaluation of the impact on water resources for mountainous communities.