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Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020

Notwithstanding the large availability of data and models, a consistent picture of the snow cover extent and duration changes in global mountain areas is lacking for long-term trends. Here, model data and satellite images are combined by using Artificial Neural Networks to generate a consistent time...

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Autor principal: Notarnicola, C.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9374742/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35962171
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-16743-w
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author Notarnicola, C.
author_facet Notarnicola, C.
author_sort Notarnicola, C.
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description Notwithstanding the large availability of data and models, a consistent picture of the snow cover extent and duration changes in global mountain areas is lacking for long-term trends. Here, model data and satellite images are combined by using Artificial Neural Networks to generate a consistent time series from 1982 to 2020 over global mountain areas. The analysis of the harmonized time series over 38 years indicates an overall negative trend of − 3.6% ± 2.7% for yearly snow cover extent and of − 15.1 days ± 11.6 days for snow cover duration. The most affected season by negative trends is winter with an average reduction in snow cover extent of − 11.5% ± 6.9%, and the most affected season by positive changes is spring with an average increase of 10% ± 5.9%, the latter mainly located in High Mountain Asia. The results indicated a shift in the snow regime located between the 80 s and 90 s of the previous century, where the period from 1982 to 1999 is characterized by a higher number of areas with significant changes and a higher rate of changes with respect to the period 2000–2020. This quantification can lead to a more accurate evaluation of the impact on water resources for mountainous communities.
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spelling pubmed-93747422022-08-14 Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020 Notarnicola, C. Sci Rep Article Notwithstanding the large availability of data and models, a consistent picture of the snow cover extent and duration changes in global mountain areas is lacking for long-term trends. Here, model data and satellite images are combined by using Artificial Neural Networks to generate a consistent time series from 1982 to 2020 over global mountain areas. The analysis of the harmonized time series over 38 years indicates an overall negative trend of − 3.6% ± 2.7% for yearly snow cover extent and of − 15.1 days ± 11.6 days for snow cover duration. The most affected season by negative trends is winter with an average reduction in snow cover extent of − 11.5% ± 6.9%, and the most affected season by positive changes is spring with an average increase of 10% ± 5.9%, the latter mainly located in High Mountain Asia. The results indicated a shift in the snow regime located between the 80 s and 90 s of the previous century, where the period from 1982 to 1999 is characterized by a higher number of areas with significant changes and a higher rate of changes with respect to the period 2000–2020. This quantification can lead to a more accurate evaluation of the impact on water resources for mountainous communities. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-08-12 /pmc/articles/PMC9374742/ /pubmed/35962171 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-16743-w Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Notarnicola, C.
Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020
title Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020
title_full Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020
title_fullStr Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020
title_full_unstemmed Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020
title_short Overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020
title_sort overall negative trends for snow cover extent and duration in global mountain regions over 1982–2020
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9374742/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35962171
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-16743-w
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