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Refining epidemiological forecasts with simple scoring rules
Estimates from infectious disease models have constituted a significant part of the scientific evidence used to inform the response to the COVID-19 pandemic in the UK. These estimates can vary strikingly in their bias and variability. Epidemiological forecasts should be consistent with the observati...
| Autores principales: | , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2022
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9376716/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35965461 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsta.2021.0305 |