Identification of the lymph node metastasis-related automated breast volume scanning features for predicting axillary lymph node tumor burden of invasive breast cancer via a clinical prediction model

Breast cancer has become the malignant tumor with the highest incidence in women. Axillary lymph node dissection (ALND) is an effective method of maintaining regional control; however, it is associated with a significant risk of complications. Meanwhile, whether the patients need ALND or not is according to sentinel lymph node biopsy (SLNB). However, the false-negative results of SLNB had been reported. Automated breast volume scanning (ABVS) is a routine examination in breast cancer. A real-world cohort consisting of 245 breast cancer patients who underwent ABVS examination were enrolled, including 251 tumor lesions. The ABVS manifestations were analyzed with the SLNB results, and the ALND results for selecting the lymph node metastasis were related to ABVS features. Finally, a nomogram was used to construct a breast cancer axillary lymph node tumor burden prediction model. Breast cancer patients with a molecular subtype of luminal B type, a maximum lesion diameter of ≥5 cm, tumor invasion of the Cooper’s ligament, and tumor invasion of the nipple had heavy lymph node tumor burden. Molecular classification, tumor size, and Cooper’s ligament status were used to construct a clinical prediction model of axillary lymph node tumor burden. The consistency indexes (or AUC) of the training cohort and the validation cohort were 0.743 and 0.711, respectively, which was close to SLNB (0.768). The best cutoff value of the ABVS nomogram was 81.146 points. After combination with ABVS features and SLNB, the AUC of the prediction model was 0.889, and the best cutoff value was 178.965 points. The calibration curve showed that the constructed nomogram clinical prediction model and the real results were highly consistent. The clinical prediction model constructed using molecular classification, tumor size, and Cooper’s ligament status can effectively predict the probability of heavy axillary lymph node tumor burden, which can be the significant supplement to the SLNB. Therefore, this model may be used for individual decision-making in the diagnosis and treatments of breast cancer.