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How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic?
COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus that first appeared in Wuhan city and then globally. The COVID-19 pandemic exudes public health and socio-economic burden globally. Mathematical modeling plays a significant role to comprehend the transmission dynamics and controlling...
Autores principales: | , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9395851/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36033354 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00648-w |
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author | Sarkar, Kankan Mondal, Jayanta Khajanchi, Subhas |
author_facet | Sarkar, Kankan Mondal, Jayanta Khajanchi, Subhas |
author_sort | Sarkar, Kankan |
collection | PubMed |
description | COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus that first appeared in Wuhan city and then globally. The COVID-19 pandemic exudes public health and socio-economic burden globally. Mathematical modeling plays a significant role to comprehend the transmission dynamics and controlling factors of rapid spread of the disease. Researchers focus on the human-to-human transmission of the virus but the SARS-CoV-2 virus also contaminates the environment. In this study we proposed a nonlinear mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic to analyze the transmission dynamics of the disease in India. We have also incorporated the environment contamination by the infected individuals as the population density is very high in India. The model is fitted and parameterized using daily new infection data from India. Analytical study of the proposed COVID-19 model, including feasibility of critical points and their stability reveals that the infection-free steady state is stable if the basic reproduction number is less than unity otherwise the system shows significant outbreak. Numerical illustrations demonstrates that if the rate of environment contamination increased then the number of infected persons also increased. But if the environment is disinfected by sanitization then the number of infected persons cannot drastically increase. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9395851 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-93958512022-08-23 How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic? Sarkar, Kankan Mondal, Jayanta Khajanchi, Subhas Eur Phys J Spec Top Regular Article COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus that first appeared in Wuhan city and then globally. The COVID-19 pandemic exudes public health and socio-economic burden globally. Mathematical modeling plays a significant role to comprehend the transmission dynamics and controlling factors of rapid spread of the disease. Researchers focus on the human-to-human transmission of the virus but the SARS-CoV-2 virus also contaminates the environment. In this study we proposed a nonlinear mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic to analyze the transmission dynamics of the disease in India. We have also incorporated the environment contamination by the infected individuals as the population density is very high in India. The model is fitted and parameterized using daily new infection data from India. Analytical study of the proposed COVID-19 model, including feasibility of critical points and their stability reveals that the infection-free steady state is stable if the basic reproduction number is less than unity otherwise the system shows significant outbreak. Numerical illustrations demonstrates that if the rate of environment contamination increased then the number of infected persons also increased. But if the environment is disinfected by sanitization then the number of infected persons cannot drastically increase. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022-08-22 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9395851/ /pubmed/36033354 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00648-w Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to EDP Sciences, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2022, Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Regular Article Sarkar, Kankan Mondal, Jayanta Khajanchi, Subhas How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic? |
title | How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic? |
title_full | How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic? |
title_fullStr | How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic? |
title_full_unstemmed | How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic? |
title_short | How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic? |
title_sort | how do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of covid-19 pandemic? |
topic | Regular Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9395851/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36033354 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00648-w |
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