Cargando…

How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic?

COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus that first appeared in Wuhan city and then globally. The COVID-19 pandemic exudes public health and socio-economic burden globally. Mathematical modeling plays a significant role to comprehend the transmission dynamics and controlling...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Autores principales: Sarkar, Kankan, Mondal, Jayanta, Khajanchi, Subhas
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9395851/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36033354
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00648-w
_version_ 1784771793690558464
author Sarkar, Kankan
Mondal, Jayanta
Khajanchi, Subhas
author_facet Sarkar, Kankan
Mondal, Jayanta
Khajanchi, Subhas
author_sort Sarkar, Kankan
collection PubMed
description COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus that first appeared in Wuhan city and then globally. The COVID-19 pandemic exudes public health and socio-economic burden globally. Mathematical modeling plays a significant role to comprehend the transmission dynamics and controlling factors of rapid spread of the disease. Researchers focus on the human-to-human transmission of the virus but the SARS-CoV-2 virus also contaminates the environment. In this study we proposed a nonlinear mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic to analyze the transmission dynamics of the disease in India. We have also incorporated the environment contamination by the infected individuals as the population density is very high in India. The model is fitted and parameterized using daily new infection data from India. Analytical study of the proposed COVID-19 model, including feasibility of critical points and their stability reveals that the infection-free steady state is stable if the basic reproduction number is less than unity otherwise the system shows significant outbreak. Numerical illustrations demonstrates that if the rate of environment contamination increased then the number of infected persons also increased. But if the environment is disinfected by sanitization then the number of infected persons cannot drastically increase.
format Online
Article
Text
id pubmed-9395851
institution National Center for Biotechnology Information
language English
publishDate 2022
publisher Springer Berlin Heidelberg
record_format MEDLINE/PubMed
spelling pubmed-93958512022-08-23 How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic? Sarkar, Kankan Mondal, Jayanta Khajanchi, Subhas Eur Phys J Spec Top Regular Article COVID-19 is an infectious disease caused by the SARS-CoV-2 virus that first appeared in Wuhan city and then globally. The COVID-19 pandemic exudes public health and socio-economic burden globally. Mathematical modeling plays a significant role to comprehend the transmission dynamics and controlling factors of rapid spread of the disease. Researchers focus on the human-to-human transmission of the virus but the SARS-CoV-2 virus also contaminates the environment. In this study we proposed a nonlinear mathematical model for the COVID-19 pandemic to analyze the transmission dynamics of the disease in India. We have also incorporated the environment contamination by the infected individuals as the population density is very high in India. The model is fitted and parameterized using daily new infection data from India. Analytical study of the proposed COVID-19 model, including feasibility of critical points and their stability reveals that the infection-free steady state is stable if the basic reproduction number is less than unity otherwise the system shows significant outbreak. Numerical illustrations demonstrates that if the rate of environment contamination increased then the number of infected persons also increased. But if the environment is disinfected by sanitization then the number of infected persons cannot drastically increase. Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022-08-22 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9395851/ /pubmed/36033354 http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00648-w Text en © The Author(s), under exclusive licence to EDP Sciences, Springer-Verlag GmbH Germany, part of Springer Nature 2022, Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Regular Article
Sarkar, Kankan
Mondal, Jayanta
Khajanchi, Subhas
How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic?
title How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic?
title_full How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic?
title_fullStr How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic?
title_full_unstemmed How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic?
title_short How do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of COVID-19 pandemic?
title_sort how do the contaminated environment influence the transmission dynamics of covid-19 pandemic?
topic Regular Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9395851/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36033354
http://dx.doi.org/10.1140/epjs/s11734-022-00648-w
work_keys_str_mv AT sarkarkankan howdothecontaminatedenvironmentinfluencethetransmissiondynamicsofcovid19pandemic
AT mondaljayanta howdothecontaminatedenvironmentinfluencethetransmissiondynamicsofcovid19pandemic
AT khajanchisubhas howdothecontaminatedenvironmentinfluencethetransmissiondynamicsofcovid19pandemic