1,5-Anhydroglucitol Predicts Mortality in Patients with HBV-Related Acute-on-chronic Liver Failure

BACKGROUND AND AIMS: 1,5-Anhydroglucitol (1,5AG) activity has been reported in chronic liver disease. Hepatitis B virus (HBV)-related acute-on-chronic liver failure (HBV-ACLF) patients have a high mortality. We aimed to discover the relationship between serum 1,5AG and the prognosis of HBV-ACLF. METHODS: Serum 1,5AG levels were determined in 333 patients with HBV-ACLF, 300 without diabetes were allocated to derivation (n=206) and validation cohorts (n=94), and 33 were recruited to evaluate 1,5AG in those with diabetes. Forty patients with chronic hepatitis B, 40 with liver cirrhosis, and 40 healthy people were controls in the validation cohort. RESULTS: In the derivation and validation cohorts, serum 1,5AG levels were significantly lower in nonsurvivors than in survivors. The AUC of 1,5AG for 28-day mortality was 0.811. In patients with diabetes, serum 1,5AG levels were also significantly lower in nonsurvivors than in survivors. In multivariate Cox regression analysis, serum 1,5AG levels were independently associated with 28-day mortality. A novel predictive model (ACTIG) based on 1,5AG, age, TB, cholesterol, and INR was derived to predict mortality. In ACTIG, the AUC for 28-day mortality was 0.914, which was superior to some prognostic score models. ACTIG was also comparable to those prognostic score models in predicting 6-month mortality. In mice with D-galactosamine/lipopolysaccharide-induced liver failure, 1,5AG levels were significantly reduced in serum and significantly increased in urine and liver tissue. CONCLUSIONS: Serum 1,5AG levels are a promising predictor of short-term mortality in HBV-ACLF patients. The 1,5AG distribution changed in mice with D-galactosamine/ lipopolysaccharide-induced liver failure.