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COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling

RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a profound impact on hospitalizations in general and on dialysis patients in particular. This study modeled the impact of COVID-19 on hospitalizations of dialysis patients in 2020. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort...

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Autores principales: Ding, Xuemei, Wang, Xi, Gremel, Garrett W., He, Kevin, Kang, Jian, Messana, Joseph M., Dahlerus, Claudia, Wu, Wenbo, Hirth, Richard A., Kalbfleisch, John D.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9398821/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36035616
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xkme.2022.100537
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author Ding, Xuemei
Wang, Xi
Gremel, Garrett W.
He, Kevin
Kang, Jian
Messana, Joseph M.
Dahlerus, Claudia
Wu, Wenbo
Hirth, Richard A.
Kalbfleisch, John D.
author_facet Ding, Xuemei
Wang, Xi
Gremel, Garrett W.
He, Kevin
Kang, Jian
Messana, Joseph M.
Dahlerus, Claudia
Wu, Wenbo
Hirth, Richard A.
Kalbfleisch, John D.
author_sort Ding, Xuemei
collection PubMed
description RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a profound impact on hospitalizations in general and on dialysis patients in particular. This study modeled the impact of COVID-19 on hospitalizations of dialysis patients in 2020. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Medicare patients on dialysis in calendar year 2020. PREDICTORS: COVID-19 status was divided into 4 stages: COVID1 (first 10 days after initial diagnosis), COVID2 (extends until the Post-COVID stage), Post-COVID (after 21 days with no COVID-19 diagnosis), and Late-COVID (begins after a hospitalization with a COVID-19 diagnosis); demographic and clinical characteristics; and dialysis facilities. OUTCOME: The sequence of hospitalization events. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A proportional rate model with a nonparametric baseline rate function of calendar time on the study population. RESULTS: A total of 509,609 patients were included in the study, 63,521 were observed to have a SARS-CoV-2 infection, 34,375 became Post-COVID, and 1,900 became Late-COVID. Compared with No-COVID, all 4 stages had significantly greater adjusted risks of hospitalizations with relative rates of 18.50 (95% CI, 18.19-18.81) for COVID1, 2.03 (95% CI, 1.99-2.08) for COVID2, 1.37 (95% CI, 1.35-1.40) for Post-COVID, and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.89-2.11) for Late-COVID. LIMITATIONS: For Medicare Advantage patients, we only had inpatient claim information. The analysis was based on data from the year 2020, and the effects may have changed due to vaccinations, new treatments, and new variants. The COVID-19 effects may be somewhat overestimated due to missing information on patients with few or no symptoms and possible delay in COVID-19 diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: We discovered a marked time dependence in the effect of COVID-19 on hospitalization of dialysis patients, beginning with an extremely high risk for a relatively short period, with more moderate but continuing elevated risks later, and never returning to the No-COVID level.
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spelling pubmed-93988212022-08-24 COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling Ding, Xuemei Wang, Xi Gremel, Garrett W. He, Kevin Kang, Jian Messana, Joseph M. Dahlerus, Claudia Wu, Wenbo Hirth, Richard A. Kalbfleisch, John D. Kidney Med Original Research RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a profound impact on hospitalizations in general and on dialysis patients in particular. This study modeled the impact of COVID-19 on hospitalizations of dialysis patients in 2020. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Medicare patients on dialysis in calendar year 2020. PREDICTORS: COVID-19 status was divided into 4 stages: COVID1 (first 10 days after initial diagnosis), COVID2 (extends until the Post-COVID stage), Post-COVID (after 21 days with no COVID-19 diagnosis), and Late-COVID (begins after a hospitalization with a COVID-19 diagnosis); demographic and clinical characteristics; and dialysis facilities. OUTCOME: The sequence of hospitalization events. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A proportional rate model with a nonparametric baseline rate function of calendar time on the study population. RESULTS: A total of 509,609 patients were included in the study, 63,521 were observed to have a SARS-CoV-2 infection, 34,375 became Post-COVID, and 1,900 became Late-COVID. Compared with No-COVID, all 4 stages had significantly greater adjusted risks of hospitalizations with relative rates of 18.50 (95% CI, 18.19-18.81) for COVID1, 2.03 (95% CI, 1.99-2.08) for COVID2, 1.37 (95% CI, 1.35-1.40) for Post-COVID, and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.89-2.11) for Late-COVID. LIMITATIONS: For Medicare Advantage patients, we only had inpatient claim information. The analysis was based on data from the year 2020, and the effects may have changed due to vaccinations, new treatments, and new variants. The COVID-19 effects may be somewhat overestimated due to missing information on patients with few or no symptoms and possible delay in COVID-19 diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: We discovered a marked time dependence in the effect of COVID-19 on hospitalization of dialysis patients, beginning with an extremely high risk for a relatively short period, with more moderate but continuing elevated risks later, and never returning to the No-COVID level. Elsevier 2022-08-24 /pmc/articles/PMC9398821/ /pubmed/36035616 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xkme.2022.100537 Text en © 2022 The Authors https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/).
spellingShingle Original Research
Ding, Xuemei
Wang, Xi
Gremel, Garrett W.
He, Kevin
Kang, Jian
Messana, Joseph M.
Dahlerus, Claudia
Wu, Wenbo
Hirth, Richard A.
Kalbfleisch, John D.
COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling
title COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling
title_full COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling
title_fullStr COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling
title_full_unstemmed COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling
title_short COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling
title_sort covid-19 and hospitalization among maintenance dialysis patients: a retrospective cohort study using time-dependent modeling
topic Original Research
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9398821/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36035616
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xkme.2022.100537
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