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COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling
RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a profound impact on hospitalizations in general and on dialysis patients in particular. This study modeled the impact of COVID-19 on hospitalizations of dialysis patients in 2020. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9398821/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36035616 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xkme.2022.100537 |
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author | Ding, Xuemei Wang, Xi Gremel, Garrett W. He, Kevin Kang, Jian Messana, Joseph M. Dahlerus, Claudia Wu, Wenbo Hirth, Richard A. Kalbfleisch, John D. |
author_facet | Ding, Xuemei Wang, Xi Gremel, Garrett W. He, Kevin Kang, Jian Messana, Joseph M. Dahlerus, Claudia Wu, Wenbo Hirth, Richard A. Kalbfleisch, John D. |
author_sort | Ding, Xuemei |
collection | PubMed |
description | RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a profound impact on hospitalizations in general and on dialysis patients in particular. This study modeled the impact of COVID-19 on hospitalizations of dialysis patients in 2020. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Medicare patients on dialysis in calendar year 2020. PREDICTORS: COVID-19 status was divided into 4 stages: COVID1 (first 10 days after initial diagnosis), COVID2 (extends until the Post-COVID stage), Post-COVID (after 21 days with no COVID-19 diagnosis), and Late-COVID (begins after a hospitalization with a COVID-19 diagnosis); demographic and clinical characteristics; and dialysis facilities. OUTCOME: The sequence of hospitalization events. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A proportional rate model with a nonparametric baseline rate function of calendar time on the study population. RESULTS: A total of 509,609 patients were included in the study, 63,521 were observed to have a SARS-CoV-2 infection, 34,375 became Post-COVID, and 1,900 became Late-COVID. Compared with No-COVID, all 4 stages had significantly greater adjusted risks of hospitalizations with relative rates of 18.50 (95% CI, 18.19-18.81) for COVID1, 2.03 (95% CI, 1.99-2.08) for COVID2, 1.37 (95% CI, 1.35-1.40) for Post-COVID, and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.89-2.11) for Late-COVID. LIMITATIONS: For Medicare Advantage patients, we only had inpatient claim information. The analysis was based on data from the year 2020, and the effects may have changed due to vaccinations, new treatments, and new variants. The COVID-19 effects may be somewhat overestimated due to missing information on patients with few or no symptoms and possible delay in COVID-19 diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: We discovered a marked time dependence in the effect of COVID-19 on hospitalization of dialysis patients, beginning with an extremely high risk for a relatively short period, with more moderate but continuing elevated risks later, and never returning to the No-COVID level. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9398821 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Elsevier |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-93988212022-08-24 COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling Ding, Xuemei Wang, Xi Gremel, Garrett W. He, Kevin Kang, Jian Messana, Joseph M. Dahlerus, Claudia Wu, Wenbo Hirth, Richard A. Kalbfleisch, John D. Kidney Med Original Research RATIONALE & OBJECTIVE: The coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic has had a profound impact on hospitalizations in general and on dialysis patients in particular. This study modeled the impact of COVID-19 on hospitalizations of dialysis patients in 2020. STUDY DESIGN: Retrospective cohort study. SETTING & PARTICIPANTS: Medicare patients on dialysis in calendar year 2020. PREDICTORS: COVID-19 status was divided into 4 stages: COVID1 (first 10 days after initial diagnosis), COVID2 (extends until the Post-COVID stage), Post-COVID (after 21 days with no COVID-19 diagnosis), and Late-COVID (begins after a hospitalization with a COVID-19 diagnosis); demographic and clinical characteristics; and dialysis facilities. OUTCOME: The sequence of hospitalization events. ANALYTICAL APPROACH: A proportional rate model with a nonparametric baseline rate function of calendar time on the study population. RESULTS: A total of 509,609 patients were included in the study, 63,521 were observed to have a SARS-CoV-2 infection, 34,375 became Post-COVID, and 1,900 became Late-COVID. Compared with No-COVID, all 4 stages had significantly greater adjusted risks of hospitalizations with relative rates of 18.50 (95% CI, 18.19-18.81) for COVID1, 2.03 (95% CI, 1.99-2.08) for COVID2, 1.37 (95% CI, 1.35-1.40) for Post-COVID, and 2.00 (95% CI, 1.89-2.11) for Late-COVID. LIMITATIONS: For Medicare Advantage patients, we only had inpatient claim information. The analysis was based on data from the year 2020, and the effects may have changed due to vaccinations, new treatments, and new variants. The COVID-19 effects may be somewhat overestimated due to missing information on patients with few or no symptoms and possible delay in COVID-19 diagnosis. CONCLUSIONS: We discovered a marked time dependence in the effect of COVID-19 on hospitalization of dialysis patients, beginning with an extremely high risk for a relatively short period, with more moderate but continuing elevated risks later, and never returning to the No-COVID level. Elsevier 2022-08-24 /pmc/articles/PMC9398821/ /pubmed/36035616 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xkme.2022.100537 Text en © 2022 The Authors https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/This is an open access article under the CC BY-NC-ND license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-nd/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Original Research Ding, Xuemei Wang, Xi Gremel, Garrett W. He, Kevin Kang, Jian Messana, Joseph M. Dahlerus, Claudia Wu, Wenbo Hirth, Richard A. Kalbfleisch, John D. COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling |
title | COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling |
title_full | COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling |
title_fullStr | COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling |
title_full_unstemmed | COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling |
title_short | COVID-19 and Hospitalization Among Maintenance Dialysis Patients: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Time-Dependent Modeling |
title_sort | covid-19 and hospitalization among maintenance dialysis patients: a retrospective cohort study using time-dependent modeling |
topic | Original Research |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9398821/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36035616 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.xkme.2022.100537 |
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