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Nowcasting and forecasting COVID-19 waves: the recursive and stochastic nature of transmission
We propose a parsimonious, yet effective, susceptible–exposed–infected–removed-type model that incorporates the time change in the transmission and death rates. The model is calibrated by Tikhonov-type regularization from official reports from New York City (NYC), Chicago, the State of São Paulo, in...
| Autores principales: | , , , |
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| Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
| Lenguaje: | English |
| Publicado: |
The Royal Society
2022
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| Materias: | |
| Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9399708/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36016918 http://dx.doi.org/10.1098/rsos.220489 |