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Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development

The 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) aim at jointly improving economic, social, and environmental outcomes for human prosperity and planetary health. However, designing national economic policies that support advancement across multiple Sustainable Development Goals is hindered by the compl...

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Autores principales: Basheer, Mohammed, Nechifor, Victor, Calzadilla, Alvaro, Ringler, Claudia, Hulme, David, Harou, Julien J.
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9415247/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36028486
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32415-9
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author Basheer, Mohammed
Nechifor, Victor
Calzadilla, Alvaro
Ringler, Claudia
Hulme, David
Harou, Julien J.
author_facet Basheer, Mohammed
Nechifor, Victor
Calzadilla, Alvaro
Ringler, Claudia
Hulme, David
Harou, Julien J.
author_sort Basheer, Mohammed
collection PubMed
description The 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) aim at jointly improving economic, social, and environmental outcomes for human prosperity and planetary health. However, designing national economic policies that support advancement across multiple Sustainable Development Goals is hindered by the complexities of multi-sector economies and often conflicting policies. To address this, we introduce a national-scale design framework that can enable policymakers to sift through complex, non-linear, multi-sector policy spaces to identify efficient policy portfolios that balance economic, social, and environmental goals. The framework combines economy-wide sustainability simulation and artificial intelligence-driven multiobjective, multi-SDG policy search and machine learning. The framework can support multi-sector, multi-actor policy deliberation to screen efficient policy portfolios. We demonstrate the utility of the framework for a case study of Egypt by identifying policy portfolios that achieve efficient mixes of poverty and inequality reduction, economic growth, and climate change mitigation. The results show that integrated policy strategies can help achieve sustainable development while balancing adverse economic, social, and political impacts of reforms.
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spelling pubmed-94152472022-08-26 Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development Basheer, Mohammed Nechifor, Victor Calzadilla, Alvaro Ringler, Claudia Hulme, David Harou, Julien J. Nat Commun Article The 2030 Sustainable Development Goals (SDGs) aim at jointly improving economic, social, and environmental outcomes for human prosperity and planetary health. However, designing national economic policies that support advancement across multiple Sustainable Development Goals is hindered by the complexities of multi-sector economies and often conflicting policies. To address this, we introduce a national-scale design framework that can enable policymakers to sift through complex, non-linear, multi-sector policy spaces to identify efficient policy portfolios that balance economic, social, and environmental goals. The framework combines economy-wide sustainability simulation and artificial intelligence-driven multiobjective, multi-SDG policy search and machine learning. The framework can support multi-sector, multi-actor policy deliberation to screen efficient policy portfolios. We demonstrate the utility of the framework for a case study of Egypt by identifying policy portfolios that achieve efficient mixes of poverty and inequality reduction, economic growth, and climate change mitigation. The results show that integrated policy strategies can help achieve sustainable development while balancing adverse economic, social, and political impacts of reforms. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-08-26 /pmc/articles/PMC9415247/ /pubmed/36028486 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32415-9 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open Access This article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons license, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article’s Creative Commons license, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article’s Creative Commons license and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this license, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Basheer, Mohammed
Nechifor, Victor
Calzadilla, Alvaro
Ringler, Claudia
Hulme, David
Harou, Julien J.
Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
title Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
title_full Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
title_fullStr Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
title_full_unstemmed Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
title_short Balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
title_sort balancing national economic policy outcomes for sustainable development
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9415247/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36028486
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41467-022-32415-9
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