Identifying optimal therapies in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma: a systematic review and network meta-analysis

BACKGROUND: Recently, increasing literature has been reported on optimal therapies in patients with advanced hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) and many therapeutic modalities have been proposed to improve the survival rate. However, the results are not consistent due to different research protocols, small sample sizes and different study endpoints and there is no standard treatment protocol has been defined. Therefore, it is very important to explore the optimal bonding mode and to evaluate the efficacy and safety of the optimal sequential therapy for those patients. METHODS: We searched available databases through January 2020 for relevant studies. The main outcome measure was 1-year overall survival (OS) and overall response rate (ORR); the secondary outcome measure was a composite of toxic effects retrieved grade 3 or 4 adverse events (AEs) from all included studies. Statistical analyses were conducted using STATA version 15 and GeMTC package in the R statistical software. RESULTS: After a detailed review, 8 randomized controlled trials (RCTs) and 20 retrospective studies involving 3,675 advanced HCC patients were included for network meta-analysis. Indirect comparisons showed that hepatic arterial infusion chemotherapy (HAIC) plus radiofrequency ablation (RFA) was highest probability of obtaining the best OS rate of 1 year [surface under the cumulative ranking (SUCRA), 0.95] and ORR (SUCRA, 0.86) when compared with other potential optimal therapies and which had ranked the first in all treatment regimens, followed by HAIC (SUCRA, 0.75). Direct and indirect comparison of 1-year OS and ORR with all treatment regimens each other showed that for all treatment regimens, patients showed significant clinical benefit when compared with transcatheter arterial chemoembolization (TACE) or sorafenib alone. However, the incidence of treatment-related AEs of grade 3 or 4 occurred in patients who have received targeted drug sorafenib therapy (SUCRA, 0.51) compared with other interesting regimens. CONCLUSIONS: HAIC may be a valuable therapeutic strategy for advanced HCC patients to prevent recurrence and metastasis after RFA, as well as in improving patient prognosis and quality of life. Meanwhile, HAIC combined with RFA is a safe and effective treatment in patients with advanced HCC, and this combination therapy can significantly prolong 1-year survival rate when compared with other optimal sequential therapies. TRIAL REGISTRATION: This study is registered with PROSPERO, number CRD42020176149.