Delayed outbreak detection: a wake-up call to evaluate a surveillance system

During May, 83 of the 120 districts in Uganda had reported malaria cases above the upper limit of the normal channel. Across all districts, cases had exceeded malaria normal channel upper limits for an average of six months. Yet no alarms had been raised! Starting in 2000, Uganda adopted the World Health Organization (WHO) Integrated Disease Surveillance and Response (IDSR) strategy for disease reporting, including for malaria. Even early on, however, it was unclear how effectively IDSR and DHIS2 were being used in Uganda. Outbreaks were consistently detected late, but the underlying cause of the late detection was unclear. Suspecting there might be gaps in the surveillance system that were not immediately obvious, the Uganda FETP was asked to evaluate the malaria surveillance system in Uganda. This case study teaches trainees in Field Epidemiology and Laboratory Training Programs, public health students, public health workers who may participate in evaluation of public health surveillance systems, and others who are interested in this topic on reasons, steps, and attributes and uses the surveillance evaluation approach to identify gaps and facilitates discussion of practical solutions for improving a public health surveillance system.