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On nonlinear dynamics of COVID-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative
This manuscript is devoted to investigate the mathematical model of fractional-order dynamical system of the recent disease caused by Corona virus. The said disease is known as Corona virus infectious disease (COVID-19). Here we analyze the modified SEIR pandemic fractional order model under nonsing...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Springer Berlin Heidelberg
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9476458/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36107356 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11517-022-02661-6 |
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author | Arfan, Muhammad Lashin, Maha M. A. Sunthrayuth, Pongsakorn Shah, Kamal Ullah, Aman Iskakova, Kulpash Gorji, M. R. Abdeljawad, Thabet |
author_facet | Arfan, Muhammad Lashin, Maha M. A. Sunthrayuth, Pongsakorn Shah, Kamal Ullah, Aman Iskakova, Kulpash Gorji, M. R. Abdeljawad, Thabet |
author_sort | Arfan, Muhammad |
collection | PubMed |
description | This manuscript is devoted to investigate the mathematical model of fractional-order dynamical system of the recent disease caused by Corona virus. The said disease is known as Corona virus infectious disease (COVID-19). Here we analyze the modified SEIR pandemic fractional order model under nonsingular kernel type derivative introduced by Atangana, Baleanu and Caputo ([Formula: see text] ) to investigate the transmission dynamics. For the validity of the proposed model, we establish some qualitative results about existence and uniqueness of solution by using fixed point approach. Further for numerical interpretation and simulations, we utilize Adams-Bashforth method. For numerical investigations, we use some available clinical data of the Wuhan city of China, where the infection initially had been identified. The disease free and pandemic equilibrium points are computed to verify the stability analysis. Also we testify the proposed model through the available data of Pakistan. We also compare the simulated data with the reported real data to demonstrate validity of the numerical scheme and our analysis. GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT: [Image: see text] |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9476458 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Springer Berlin Heidelberg |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-94764582022-09-15 On nonlinear dynamics of COVID-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative Arfan, Muhammad Lashin, Maha M. A. Sunthrayuth, Pongsakorn Shah, Kamal Ullah, Aman Iskakova, Kulpash Gorji, M. R. Abdeljawad, Thabet Med Biol Eng Comput Original Article This manuscript is devoted to investigate the mathematical model of fractional-order dynamical system of the recent disease caused by Corona virus. The said disease is known as Corona virus infectious disease (COVID-19). Here we analyze the modified SEIR pandemic fractional order model under nonsingular kernel type derivative introduced by Atangana, Baleanu and Caputo ([Formula: see text] ) to investigate the transmission dynamics. For the validity of the proposed model, we establish some qualitative results about existence and uniqueness of solution by using fixed point approach. Further for numerical interpretation and simulations, we utilize Adams-Bashforth method. For numerical investigations, we use some available clinical data of the Wuhan city of China, where the infection initially had been identified. The disease free and pandemic equilibrium points are computed to verify the stability analysis. Also we testify the proposed model through the available data of Pakistan. We also compare the simulated data with the reported real data to demonstrate validity of the numerical scheme and our analysis. GRAPHICAL ABSTRACT: [Image: see text] Springer Berlin Heidelberg 2022-09-15 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9476458/ /pubmed/36107356 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11517-022-02661-6 Text en © International Federation for Medical and Biological Engineering 2022, Springer Nature or its licensor holds exclusive rights to this article under a publishing agreement with the author(s) or other rightsholder(s); author self-archiving of the accepted manuscript version of this article is solely governed by the terms of such publishing agreement and applicable law. This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic. |
spellingShingle | Original Article Arfan, Muhammad Lashin, Maha M. A. Sunthrayuth, Pongsakorn Shah, Kamal Ullah, Aman Iskakova, Kulpash Gorji, M. R. Abdeljawad, Thabet On nonlinear dynamics of COVID-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative |
title | On nonlinear dynamics of COVID-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative |
title_full | On nonlinear dynamics of COVID-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative |
title_fullStr | On nonlinear dynamics of COVID-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative |
title_full_unstemmed | On nonlinear dynamics of COVID-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative |
title_short | On nonlinear dynamics of COVID-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative |
title_sort | on nonlinear dynamics of covid-19 disease model corresponding to nonsingular fractional order derivative |
topic | Original Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9476458/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36107356 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s11517-022-02661-6 |
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