Preoperative Lymphocyte to Monocyte Ratio as a Predictive Biomarker for Disease Severity and Spinal Fusion Failure in Lumbar Degenerative Diseases Patients Undergoing Lumbar Fusion

OBJECTIVE: This study was designed to determine whether lymphocyte to monocyte ratio (LMR) correlated with the intervertebral disc degeneration (IDD) severity and the postoperative spinal fusion rate in patients with lumbar disc disease. METHODS: 303 patients undergoing posterior lumbar decompression and fusion were retrospectively analyzed. An examination of the blood count was performed before surgery. The cumulative grade was calculated by summing the pfirrmann grades of all lumbar discs. Grouping was based on the 50th percentile of cumulative grade and spinal fusion. The relationship between LMR and IDD severity and spinal fusion was explored using correlation analyses and logistic regression models. The receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve was performed to measure model discrimination, and Hosmer-Lemeshow (H-L) test was used to measure calibration. Meanwhile, the ROC curve evaluated the discrimination ability of LMR in predicting severe degeneration and fusion failure. RESULTS: LMR was significantly lower in the severe degeneration group (cumulative grade > 18) than in the mild to moderate degeneration group (cumulative grade ≤ 18). Furthermore, the LMR of the fusion group was significantly higher than that of the non-fusion group. The multivariate binary logistic models revealed that LMR was an independently influencing factor of the severe degeneration and fusion failure (OR: 0.793, 95% CI: 0.638–0.987, p = 0.038; OR: 0.371, 95% CI: 0.258–0.532, p < 0.001). The models showed excellent discrimination and calibration. The area under the curve (AUC) of severe degeneration and fusion failure identified by LMR were 0.635 and 0.643, respectively, and the corresponding cut-off values were 3.16 and 3.90. CONCLUSION: LMR is significantly associated with the risk of severe disc degeneration and spinal fusion failure.