CT radiomics combined with clinical variables for predicting the overall survival of hepatocellular carcinoma patients after hepatectomy

PURPOSE: To establish a model for assessing the overall survival (OS) of the hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) patients after hepatectomy based on the clinical and radiomics features. METHODS: This study recruited a total of 267 patients with HCC, which were randomly divided into the training (N = 188) and validation (N = 79) cohorts. In the training cohort, radiomic features were selected with the intra-reader and inter-reader correlation coefficient (ICC), Spearman's correlation coefficient, and the least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO). The radiomics signatures were built by COX regression analysis and compared the predictive potential in the different phases (arterial, portal, and double-phase) and regions of interest (tumor, peritumor 3 mm, peritumor 5 mm). A clinical-radiomics model (CR model) was established by combining the radiomics signatures and clinical risk factors. The validation cohort was used to validate the proposed models. RESULTS: A total of 267 patients 86 (45.74%) and 37 (46.84%) patients died in the training and validation cohorts, respectively. Among all the radiomics signatures, those based on the tumor and peritumor (5 mm) (AP-TP5-Signature) showed the best prognostic potential (training cohort 1–3 years AUC:0.774–0.837; validation cohort 1–3 years AUC:0.754–0.810). The CR model showed better discrimination, calibration, and clinical applicability as compared to the clinical model and radiomics features. In addition, the CR model could perform risk-stratification and also allowed for significant discrimination between the Kaplan-Meier curves in most of the subgroups. CONCLUSIONS: The CR model could predict the OS of the HCC patients after hepatectomy.