2011–2021 rising prevalence of HPV infection among oropharyngeal carcinoma in France

BACKGROUND: The objective of our study was to investigate changes over the past decade in patient age and the prevalence of HPV in the population of patients with oropharyngeal carcinoma (OPC) treated at our center. METHODS: We performed a retrospective cohort study of patients treated at our cancer center for OPC between 2011 and 2021. Tissue biopsies were assessed for HPV status based on p16 staining for all patients. RESULTS: There were 1,365 treated patients. The proportion of p16-positive patients increased from 43% in 2011 to 57.3% in 2021 (p = 0.01). The sex ratio was 3.6 M/1F for p16-positive and 3.7 M/1F for p16-negative patients (p = 0.94). The mean age increased from 60.2 y in 2011 to 63.6 y in 2021. The mean ages were 61.9 y for p16-positive and 61.7 y for p16-negative patients (p = 0.71), but there was a broader age distribution for the p16-positive patients (p = 0.03). The proportion of patients older than 70 y increased from 11% in 2011 to 28.2% in 2021, and this aging was similar between p16-positive (30.7% in 2021) and p16-negative (26.3% in 2021) patients. The 2-year and 5-year OS rates were 73.7% and 56.5% for the entire cohort. p16-positive patients had 2-year and 5-year OS rates of 86.8% and 77.4%, respectively, whereas p16-negative patients had 2-year and 5-year OS rates of 63.9% and 40.5%. CONCLUSIONS: Assessment of the change over the past decade in the population of patients with OPC at our center showed that HPV-positive OPC now appear to have overtaken HPV-negative cases in France, with 57.3% in 2021, and showed significant aging, with almost thirty percent of patients now older than 70 years. Those combined changes emphasize some of the challenges to be addressed in future OPC management.