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Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series

This study investigated information spillovers across crude oil time series at different time scales, using a network combined with a wavelet transform. It can detect the oil price, which plays an important role in the dynamic process of spillovers, and it can also analyze the dynamic feature of sys...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Autor principal: An, Sufang
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: MDPI 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9497505/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36141134
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e24091248
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author An, Sufang
author_facet An, Sufang
author_sort An, Sufang
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description This study investigated information spillovers across crude oil time series at different time scales, using a network combined with a wavelet transform. It can detect the oil price, which plays an important role in the dynamic process of spillovers, and it can also analyze the dynamic feature of systematic risk based on entropy at different scales. The results indicate that the network structure changes with time, and the important roles of an oil price can be identified. WTI and Brent act as important spillover transmitters, and other prices are important spillover receivers at a scale. With the increase in time scale, both the number of neighbors and the importance of spillovers of Brent and WTI as spillover transmitters show downward trends. The importance for spillovers of China–Shengli and Dubai as spillover receivers shows a downward trend. This paper provides new evidence for explaining WTI and Brent as global benchmark oil prices. In addition, systematic risk is time-varying, and it is smaller at short-term scale than at long-term scale. The trend of systematic risk is also discussed when typical oil-related events occur. This paper provides a new perspective for exploring dynamic spillovers and systematic risk that offers important implications for policymakers and market investors.
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spelling pubmed-94975052022-09-23 Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series An, Sufang Entropy (Basel) Article This study investigated information spillovers across crude oil time series at different time scales, using a network combined with a wavelet transform. It can detect the oil price, which plays an important role in the dynamic process of spillovers, and it can also analyze the dynamic feature of systematic risk based on entropy at different scales. The results indicate that the network structure changes with time, and the important roles of an oil price can be identified. WTI and Brent act as important spillover transmitters, and other prices are important spillover receivers at a scale. With the increase in time scale, both the number of neighbors and the importance of spillovers of Brent and WTI as spillover transmitters show downward trends. The importance for spillovers of China–Shengli and Dubai as spillover receivers shows a downward trend. This paper provides new evidence for explaining WTI and Brent as global benchmark oil prices. In addition, systematic risk is time-varying, and it is smaller at short-term scale than at long-term scale. The trend of systematic risk is also discussed when typical oil-related events occur. This paper provides a new perspective for exploring dynamic spillovers and systematic risk that offers important implications for policymakers and market investors. MDPI 2022-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC9497505/ /pubmed/36141134 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e24091248 Text en © 2022 by the author. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
spellingShingle Article
An, Sufang
Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series
title Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series
title_full Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series
title_fullStr Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series
title_full_unstemmed Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series
title_short Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series
title_sort dynamic multiscale information spillover among crude oil time series
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9497505/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36141134
http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e24091248
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