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Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series
This study investigated information spillovers across crude oil time series at different time scales, using a network combined with a wavelet transform. It can detect the oil price, which plays an important role in the dynamic process of spillovers, and it can also analyze the dynamic feature of sys...
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
MDPI
2022
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Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9497505/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36141134 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e24091248 |
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author | An, Sufang |
author_facet | An, Sufang |
author_sort | An, Sufang |
collection | PubMed |
description | This study investigated information spillovers across crude oil time series at different time scales, using a network combined with a wavelet transform. It can detect the oil price, which plays an important role in the dynamic process of spillovers, and it can also analyze the dynamic feature of systematic risk based on entropy at different scales. The results indicate that the network structure changes with time, and the important roles of an oil price can be identified. WTI and Brent act as important spillover transmitters, and other prices are important spillover receivers at a scale. With the increase in time scale, both the number of neighbors and the importance of spillovers of Brent and WTI as spillover transmitters show downward trends. The importance for spillovers of China–Shengli and Dubai as spillover receivers shows a downward trend. This paper provides new evidence for explaining WTI and Brent as global benchmark oil prices. In addition, systematic risk is time-varying, and it is smaller at short-term scale than at long-term scale. The trend of systematic risk is also discussed when typical oil-related events occur. This paper provides a new perspective for exploring dynamic spillovers and systematic risk that offers important implications for policymakers and market investors. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9497505 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | MDPI |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-94975052022-09-23 Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series An, Sufang Entropy (Basel) Article This study investigated information spillovers across crude oil time series at different time scales, using a network combined with a wavelet transform. It can detect the oil price, which plays an important role in the dynamic process of spillovers, and it can also analyze the dynamic feature of systematic risk based on entropy at different scales. The results indicate that the network structure changes with time, and the important roles of an oil price can be identified. WTI and Brent act as important spillover transmitters, and other prices are important spillover receivers at a scale. With the increase in time scale, both the number of neighbors and the importance of spillovers of Brent and WTI as spillover transmitters show downward trends. The importance for spillovers of China–Shengli and Dubai as spillover receivers shows a downward trend. This paper provides new evidence for explaining WTI and Brent as global benchmark oil prices. In addition, systematic risk is time-varying, and it is smaller at short-term scale than at long-term scale. The trend of systematic risk is also discussed when typical oil-related events occur. This paper provides a new perspective for exploring dynamic spillovers and systematic risk that offers important implications for policymakers and market investors. MDPI 2022-09-05 /pmc/articles/PMC9497505/ /pubmed/36141134 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e24091248 Text en © 2022 by the author. https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Licensee MDPI, Basel, Switzerland. This article is an open access article distributed under the terms and conditions of the Creative Commons Attribution (CC BY) license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/). |
spellingShingle | Article An, Sufang Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series |
title | Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series |
title_full | Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series |
title_fullStr | Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series |
title_full_unstemmed | Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series |
title_short | Dynamic Multiscale Information Spillover among Crude Oil Time Series |
title_sort | dynamic multiscale information spillover among crude oil time series |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9497505/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36141134 http://dx.doi.org/10.3390/e24091248 |
work_keys_str_mv | AT ansufang dynamicmultiscaleinformationspilloveramongcrudeoiltimeseries |