Association between Mutations in Papain-like Protease (PLpro) of SARS-CoV-2 with COVID-19 Clinical Outcomes

Papain-like protease (PLpro) is important for the replication and transcription of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2). This study aimed to reveal the PLpro mutations associated with the clinical outcomes of patients. Due to the importance of the S protein in the pathogenicity of SARS-CoV-2, the mutation of the S protein was also analyzed in this study. After downloading the data from the Global Initiative on Sharing Avian Influenza Data (GISAID) database, samples were divided into two groups on the basis of patient status, namely, recovered and dead groups. This study performed a univariate analysis and further explored the association of mutations with patient outcomes through multivariate logistic regression analysis. A total of 138,492 samples were used for analysis. The patients had a mean age of 43.66 ± 21.56 years, and 51.3% of them were female. Multivariate logistic regression results showed that, compared with men, women had a lower risk of dying from coronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19) (OR = 0.687, 95%CI: 0.638–0.740). Compared with patients aged 17 years and younger, patients aged 18–64 years (OR = 2.864, 95%CI: 1.982–4.139) and patients over 65 years old (OR = 19.135, 95%CI: 13.280–27.572) had a higher risk of death after infection. Compared with the wild type, P78L (OR = 5.185, 95%CI: 2.763–9.730) and K233Q (OR = 5.154, 95%CI: 1.442–18.416) in PLpro were associated with an increased risk of death. A synergistic interaction existed between age and mutations A146D and P78L. The results of the multivariate logistic regression analysis of the data on vaccinated patients demonstrated that, compared with the wild type, the P78L (OR = 3.376, 95%CI: 2.040–5.585) mutation was associated with an increased risk of death. In conclusion, compared with the wild-type PLpro protein, the P78L and K233Q mutations may increase the risk of death in infected individuals. In addition, a synergistic effect existed between age and P78L and K233Q that increased the risk of death in older patients.