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Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects
The magnitude and distribution of physical and societal impacts from long-lived greenhouse gases are insensitive to the emission source location; the same is not true for major coemitted short-lived pollutants such as aerosols. Here, we combine novel global climate model simulations with established...
Autores principales: | , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
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American Association for the Advancement of Science
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9506714/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36149961 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn7307 |
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author | Burney, Jennifer Persad, Geeta Proctor, Jonathan Bendavid, Eran Burke, Marshall Heft-Neal, Sam |
author_facet | Burney, Jennifer Persad, Geeta Proctor, Jonathan Bendavid, Eran Burke, Marshall Heft-Neal, Sam |
author_sort | Burney, Jennifer |
collection | PubMed |
description | The magnitude and distribution of physical and societal impacts from long-lived greenhouse gases are insensitive to the emission source location; the same is not true for major coemitted short-lived pollutants such as aerosols. Here, we combine novel global climate model simulations with established response functions to show that a given aerosol emission from different regions produces divergent air quality and climate changes and associated human system impacts, both locally and globally. The marginal global damages to infant mortality, crop productivity, and economic growth from aerosol emissions and their climate effects differ by more than an order of magnitude depending on source region, with certain regions creating global external climate changes and impacts much larger than those felt locally. The complex distributions of aerosol-driven societal impacts emerge from geographically distinct and region-specific aerosol-climate interactions, estimation of which is enabled by the full Earth System Modeling Framework used here. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9506714 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | American Association for the Advancement of Science |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-95067142022-10-07 Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects Burney, Jennifer Persad, Geeta Proctor, Jonathan Bendavid, Eran Burke, Marshall Heft-Neal, Sam Sci Adv Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences The magnitude and distribution of physical and societal impacts from long-lived greenhouse gases are insensitive to the emission source location; the same is not true for major coemitted short-lived pollutants such as aerosols. Here, we combine novel global climate model simulations with established response functions to show that a given aerosol emission from different regions produces divergent air quality and climate changes and associated human system impacts, both locally and globally. The marginal global damages to infant mortality, crop productivity, and economic growth from aerosol emissions and their climate effects differ by more than an order of magnitude depending on source region, with certain regions creating global external climate changes and impacts much larger than those felt locally. The complex distributions of aerosol-driven societal impacts emerge from geographically distinct and region-specific aerosol-climate interactions, estimation of which is enabled by the full Earth System Modeling Framework used here. American Association for the Advancement of Science 2022-09-23 /pmc/articles/PMC9506714/ /pubmed/36149961 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn7307 Text en Copyright © 2022 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) , which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, so long as the resultant use is not for commercial advantage and provided the original work is properly cited. |
spellingShingle | Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences Burney, Jennifer Persad, Geeta Proctor, Jonathan Bendavid, Eran Burke, Marshall Heft-Neal, Sam Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects |
title | Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects |
title_full | Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects |
title_fullStr | Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects |
title_full_unstemmed | Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects |
title_short | Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects |
title_sort | geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects |
topic | Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9506714/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36149961 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn7307 |
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