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Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects

The magnitude and distribution of physical and societal impacts from long-lived greenhouse gases are insensitive to the emission source location; the same is not true for major coemitted short-lived pollutants such as aerosols. Here, we combine novel global climate model simulations with established...

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Autores principales: Burney, Jennifer, Persad, Geeta, Proctor, Jonathan, Bendavid, Eran, Burke, Marshall, Heft-Neal, Sam
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: American Association for the Advancement of Science 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9506714/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36149961
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn7307
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author Burney, Jennifer
Persad, Geeta
Proctor, Jonathan
Bendavid, Eran
Burke, Marshall
Heft-Neal, Sam
author_facet Burney, Jennifer
Persad, Geeta
Proctor, Jonathan
Bendavid, Eran
Burke, Marshall
Heft-Neal, Sam
author_sort Burney, Jennifer
collection PubMed
description The magnitude and distribution of physical and societal impacts from long-lived greenhouse gases are insensitive to the emission source location; the same is not true for major coemitted short-lived pollutants such as aerosols. Here, we combine novel global climate model simulations with established response functions to show that a given aerosol emission from different regions produces divergent air quality and climate changes and associated human system impacts, both locally and globally. The marginal global damages to infant mortality, crop productivity, and economic growth from aerosol emissions and their climate effects differ by more than an order of magnitude depending on source region, with certain regions creating global external climate changes and impacts much larger than those felt locally. The complex distributions of aerosol-driven societal impacts emerge from geographically distinct and region-specific aerosol-climate interactions, estimation of which is enabled by the full Earth System Modeling Framework used here.
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spelling pubmed-95067142022-10-07 Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects Burney, Jennifer Persad, Geeta Proctor, Jonathan Bendavid, Eran Burke, Marshall Heft-Neal, Sam Sci Adv Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences The magnitude and distribution of physical and societal impacts from long-lived greenhouse gases are insensitive to the emission source location; the same is not true for major coemitted short-lived pollutants such as aerosols. Here, we combine novel global climate model simulations with established response functions to show that a given aerosol emission from different regions produces divergent air quality and climate changes and associated human system impacts, both locally and globally. The marginal global damages to infant mortality, crop productivity, and economic growth from aerosol emissions and their climate effects differ by more than an order of magnitude depending on source region, with certain regions creating global external climate changes and impacts much larger than those felt locally. The complex distributions of aerosol-driven societal impacts emerge from geographically distinct and region-specific aerosol-climate interactions, estimation of which is enabled by the full Earth System Modeling Framework used here. American Association for the Advancement of Science 2022-09-23 /pmc/articles/PMC9506714/ /pubmed/36149961 http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn7307 Text en Copyright © 2022 The Authors, some rights reserved; exclusive licensee American Association for the Advancement of Science. No claim to original U.S. Government Works. Distributed under a Creative Commons Attribution NonCommercial License 4.0 (CC BY-NC). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open-access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution-NonCommercial license (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) , which permits use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, so long as the resultant use is not for commercial advantage and provided the original work is properly cited.
spellingShingle Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences
Burney, Jennifer
Persad, Geeta
Proctor, Jonathan
Bendavid, Eran
Burke, Marshall
Heft-Neal, Sam
Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects
title Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects
title_full Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects
title_fullStr Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects
title_full_unstemmed Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects
title_short Geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects
title_sort geographically resolved social cost of anthropogenic emissions accounting for both direct and climate-mediated effects
topic Earth, Environmental, Ecological, and Space Sciences
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9506714/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36149961
http://dx.doi.org/10.1126/sciadv.abn7307
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