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Global stability and optimal control for a COVID-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays
COVID-19 pandemic remains serious around the world and causes huge deaths and economic losses. To investigate the effect of vaccination and isolation delays on the transmission of COVID-19, we propose a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission with vaccination and isolation delays. The basic repr...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9508703/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36185819 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2022.106011 |
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author | Song, Haitao Wang, Ruifeng Liu, Shengqiang Jin, Zhen He, Daihai |
author_facet | Song, Haitao Wang, Ruifeng Liu, Shengqiang Jin, Zhen He, Daihai |
author_sort | Song, Haitao |
collection | PubMed |
description | COVID-19 pandemic remains serious around the world and causes huge deaths and economic losses. To investigate the effect of vaccination and isolation delays on the transmission of COVID-19, we propose a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission with vaccination and isolation delays. The basic reproduction number is computed, and the global dynamics of the model are proved. When [Formula: see text] , the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. The unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text]. Based on the public information, parameter values are estimated, and sensitivity analysis is carried out by the partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCCs) and the extended version of the Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (eFAST). Our results suggest that the isolation rates of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals have a significant impact on the transmission of COVID-19. When the COVID-19 is epidemic, the optimal control strategies of our model with vaccination and isolation delays are analyzed. Under the limited resource with constant and time-varying isolation rates, we find that the optimal isolation rates may minimize the cumulative number of infected individuals and the cost of disease control, and effectively contain the transmission of COVID-19. Our study may help public health to prevent and control the COVID-19 spread. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9508703 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-95087032022-09-26 Global stability and optimal control for a COVID-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays Song, Haitao Wang, Ruifeng Liu, Shengqiang Jin, Zhen He, Daihai Results Phys Article COVID-19 pandemic remains serious around the world and causes huge deaths and economic losses. To investigate the effect of vaccination and isolation delays on the transmission of COVID-19, we propose a mathematical model of COVID-19 transmission with vaccination and isolation delays. The basic reproduction number is computed, and the global dynamics of the model are proved. When [Formula: see text] , the disease-free equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable. The unique endemic equilibrium is globally asymptotically stable if [Formula: see text]. Based on the public information, parameter values are estimated, and sensitivity analysis is carried out by the partial rank correlation coefficients (PRCCs) and the extended version of the Fourier amplitude sensitivity test (eFAST). Our results suggest that the isolation rates of asymptomatic and symptomatic infectious individuals have a significant impact on the transmission of COVID-19. When the COVID-19 is epidemic, the optimal control strategies of our model with vaccination and isolation delays are analyzed. Under the limited resource with constant and time-varying isolation rates, we find that the optimal isolation rates may minimize the cumulative number of infected individuals and the cost of disease control, and effectively contain the transmission of COVID-19. Our study may help public health to prevent and control the COVID-19 spread. The Author(s). Published by Elsevier B.V. 2022-11 2022-09-24 /pmc/articles/PMC9508703/ /pubmed/36185819 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2022.106011 Text en © 2022 The Author(s) Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Song, Haitao Wang, Ruifeng Liu, Shengqiang Jin, Zhen He, Daihai Global stability and optimal control for a COVID-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays |
title | Global stability and optimal control for a COVID-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays |
title_full | Global stability and optimal control for a COVID-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays |
title_fullStr | Global stability and optimal control for a COVID-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays |
title_full_unstemmed | Global stability and optimal control for a COVID-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays |
title_short | Global stability and optimal control for a COVID-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays |
title_sort | global stability and optimal control for a covid-19 model with vaccination and isolation delays |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9508703/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36185819 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.rinp.2022.106011 |
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