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Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination

In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to describe the influence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus with correlated sources of randomness and with vaccination. The total human population is divided into three groups susceptible, infected, and recovered. Each population group of the model is assumed to...

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Autores principales: Khan, Tahir, Ullah, Roman, Alwan, Basem Al, El-Khatib, Youssef, Zaman, Gul
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Nature Publishing Group UK 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9514201/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36168022
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-20059-0
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author Khan, Tahir
Ullah, Roman
Alwan, Basem Al
El-Khatib, Youssef
Zaman, Gul
author_facet Khan, Tahir
Ullah, Roman
Alwan, Basem Al
El-Khatib, Youssef
Zaman, Gul
author_sort Khan, Tahir
collection PubMed
description In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to describe the influence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus with correlated sources of randomness and with vaccination. The total human population is divided into three groups susceptible, infected, and recovered. Each population group of the model is assumed to be subject to various types of randomness. We develop the correlated stochastic model by considering correlated Brownian motions for the population groups. As the environmental reservoir plays a weighty role in the transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, our model encompasses a fourth stochastic differential equation representing the reservoir. Moreover, the vaccination of susceptible is also considered. Once the correlated stochastic model, the existence and uniqueness of a positive solution are discussed to show the problem’s feasibility. The SARS-CoV-2 extinction, as well as persistency, are also examined, and sufficient conditions resulted from our investigation. The theoretical results are supported through numerical/graphical findings.
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spelling pubmed-95142012022-09-28 Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination Khan, Tahir Ullah, Roman Alwan, Basem Al El-Khatib, Youssef Zaman, Gul Sci Rep Article In this paper, we propose a mathematical model to describe the influence of the SARS-CoV-2 virus with correlated sources of randomness and with vaccination. The total human population is divided into three groups susceptible, infected, and recovered. Each population group of the model is assumed to be subject to various types of randomness. We develop the correlated stochastic model by considering correlated Brownian motions for the population groups. As the environmental reservoir plays a weighty role in the transmission of the SARS-CoV-2 virus, our model encompasses a fourth stochastic differential equation representing the reservoir. Moreover, the vaccination of susceptible is also considered. Once the correlated stochastic model, the existence and uniqueness of a positive solution are discussed to show the problem’s feasibility. The SARS-CoV-2 extinction, as well as persistency, are also examined, and sufficient conditions resulted from our investigation. The theoretical results are supported through numerical/graphical findings. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-09-27 /pmc/articles/PMC9514201/ /pubmed/36168022 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-20059-0 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) .
spellingShingle Article
Khan, Tahir
Ullah, Roman
Alwan, Basem Al
El-Khatib, Youssef
Zaman, Gul
Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination
title Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination
title_full Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination
title_fullStr Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination
title_full_unstemmed Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination
title_short Correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of SARS-CoV-2 with vaccination
title_sort correlated stochastic epidemic model for the dynamics of sars-cov-2 with vaccination
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9514201/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36168022
http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-20059-0
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