Anatomy-based prediction method for determining ipsilateral lung doses in postoperative breast radiation therapy assisted by diagnostic computed tomography images

BACKGROUND: This study aimed to investigate whether ipsilateral lung doses (ILDs) could be predicted by anatomical indexes measured using diagnostic computed tomography (CT) prior to the planning stage of breast radiation therapy (RT). MATERIALS AND METHODS: The thoracic diameters and the length of lines drawn manually were measured on diagnostic CT images. The parameters of interest were the skin maximum lung distance (sMLD), central lung distance (CLD), Haller index (HI), and body mass index (BMI). Lung dose-volume histograms were created with conformal planning, and the lung volumes receiving 5–40 Gy (V5–V40) were calculated. Linear regression models were used to investigate the correlations between the anatomical indexes and dose differences and to estimate the slope and 95% confidence intervals (CIs). RESULTS: A total of 160 patients who had undergone three-dimensional conformal RT after breast-conserving surgery were included. Univariable analysis revealed that the sMLD (p < 0.001), CLD (p < 0.001), HI (p = 0.002), and BMI (p < 0.001) were significantly correlated with the V20. However, multivariable analysis revealed that only the sMLD (slope: 0.147, p = 0.001, 95% CI: 0.162–0.306) and CLD (0.157, p = 0.005, 0.048–0.266) were strongly correlated with the V20. The p-value for the sMLD was the lowest among the p-values for all indexes, thereby indicating that the sMLD had the best predictive power for ILD. CONCLUSIONS: sMLD and CLD are anatomical markers that can be used to predict ILD in whole breast RT. An sMLD > 20.5 mm or a CLD > 24.3 mm positively correlated with a high ILD.