Prognostic value of MTV and TLG of 18 F-FDG PET in patients with head and neck squamous cell carcinoma: A meta-analysis

The current systematic review and meta-analysis explored the value of metabolic tumor volume (MTV) as well as total lesion glycolysis (TLG) in predicting the prognosis of head and neck squamous cell carcinoma (HNSCC) using 18 F-FDG PET parameters. METHODS: This work identified relevant studies in the English language by searching several electronic databases, like Cochrane Library, EMBASE, and PubMed. In addition, pooled hazard ratios (HRs) were also calculated to analyze whether MTV and TLG were significant in predicting prognosis. RESULTS: The present study included 15 primary studies involving HNSCC cases. As for the elevated TLG, it attained the pooled HR of 1.85 (95% confidence interval [CI], 1.16–2.94; P = .000; I(2) = 78.3%) in predicting overall survival (OS), whereas that for elevated MTV was1.22 (95%CI, 1.09–1.36; P = .000; I(2) = 82.4%). Besides, for elevated MTV, it attained the pooled HR of 1.34 (95%CI, 1.15–1.56, P = .000; I(2) = 86.0%) in predicting disease-free survival (DFS); while the elevated TLG was related to DFS. Sensitivity analysis confirmed that our results are reliable. As for MTV, the ROC-stratified subgroups for DFS and multivariate analyses-stratified subgroups for OS showed statistically significant differences, with no obvious heterogeneities across different studies. For TLG, other methods-stratified subgroups for OS showed statistically significant differences, with no obvious heterogeneity across different studies. CONCLUSION: This work indicated that PET/CT is of predictive significance across HNSCC cases. Although the included articles used different methods and recruited HNSCC cases with high clinical heterogeneity; however, our findings confirmed that an elevated MTV can predict the increased risk of side reactions or even death among HNSCC cases and that an elevated TLG can predict a higher death risk.