Cost-Effective Modeling of Thromboembolic Chemoprophylaxis for Total Ankle Arthroplasty

BACKGROUND: Symptomatic venous thromboembolism (VTE) following total ankle arthroplasty (TAA) can cause substantial morbidity and mortality. To prevent this complication, surgeons often prescribe postoperative chemoprophylaxis. However, much controversy exists regarding the efficacy of chemoprophylaxis because of the limited studies exploring its use. Furthermore, even less is known about its cost-effectiveness. Therefore, this study sought to determine the cost-effectiveness of commonly prescribed chemoprophylactic agents using a break-even analysis economic model. METHODS: The literature was searched, and an online database was used to identify patients who developed a symptomatic VTE after undergoing TAA. Our institutional records were used to estimate the cost of treating a symptomatic VTE, and an online drug database was used to obtain the cost of commonly prescribed chemoprophylactic agents. A break-even analysis was then performed to determine the final break-even rate necessary to make a drug cost-effective. RESULTS: The low and high rates of symptomatic VTE were determined to be 0.46% and 9.8%. From 2011 to 2021, a total of 3455 patients underwent total ankle arthroplasty. Of these patients, 16 developed a postoperative symptomatic VTE (1.01%). Aspirin 81 mg was cost-effective if the initial symptomatic VTE rates decreased by an absolute risk reduction (ARR) of 0.0003% (NNT = 31 357). Aspirin 325 mg was also cost-effective if the initial rates decreased by an ARR 0.02% (NNT = 5807). Likewise, warfarin (5 mg) was cost-effective at all initial rates with an ARR of 0.02% (NNT = 4480). In contrast, enoxaparin (40 mg) and rivaroxaban (20 mg) were only cost-effective at higher initial symptomatic VTE rates with ARRs of 1.48% (NNT = 68) and 5.36% (NNT = 19). Additional analyses demonstrated that enoxaparin (40 mg) and rivaroxaban (20 mg) become cost-effective when costs of treating a symptomatic VTE are higher than our estimates. CONCLUSION: Chemoprophylaxis following TAA can be cost-effective. A tailored approach to VTE prophylaxis with cost-effectiveness in mind may be beneficial to the patient and health system.