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Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19
More than 30 months into the novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, efforts to bring this prevalence under control have achieved tentative achievements in China. However, the continuing increase in confirmed cases worldwide and the novel variants imply a severe risk of imported viruses. High-in...
Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Elsevier Inc.
2023
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9528067/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36212726 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2022.09.008 |
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author | Chen, Fangyuan Chen, Siya Jia, Mengmeng Jiang, Mingyue Leng, Zhiwei Ma, Libing Sun, Yanxia Zhang, Ting Feng, Luzhao Yang, Weizhong |
author_facet | Chen, Fangyuan Chen, Siya Jia, Mengmeng Jiang, Mingyue Leng, Zhiwei Ma, Libing Sun, Yanxia Zhang, Ting Feng, Luzhao Yang, Weizhong |
author_sort | Chen, Fangyuan |
collection | PubMed |
description | More than 30 months into the novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, efforts to bring this prevalence under control have achieved tentative achievements in China. However, the continuing increase in confirmed cases worldwide and the novel variants imply a severe risk of imported viruses. High-intensity non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are the mainly used measures of China's early response to COVID-19, which enabled effective control in the first wave of the epidemic. However, their efficiency is relatively low across China at the current stage. Therefore, this study focuses on whether measurable meteorological variables be found through global data to learn more about COVID-19 and explore flexible controls. This study first examines the control measures, such as NPIs and vaccination, on COVID-19 transmission across 189 countries, especially in China. Subsequently, we estimate the association between meteorological factors and time-varying reproduction numbers based on the global data by meta-population epidemic model, eliminating the aforementioned anthropogenic factors. According to this study, we find that the basic reproduction number of COVID-19 transmission varied wildly among Köppen-Geiger climate classifications, which is of great significance for the flexible adjustment of China's control protocols. We obtain that in southeast China, Köppen-Geiger climate sub-classifications, Cwb, Cfa, and Cfb, are more likely to spread COVID-19. In August, the R(SIM) of Cwb climate subclassification is about three times that of Dwc in April, which implies that the intensity of control efforts in different sub-regions may differ three times under the same imported risk. However, BSk and BWk, the most widely distributed in northwest China, have smaller basic reproduction numbers than Cfa, distributed in southeast coastal areas. It indicates that northwest China's control intensity could be appropriately weaker than southeast China under the same prevention objectives. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9528067 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2023 |
publisher | Elsevier Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-95280672022-10-03 Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19 Chen, Fangyuan Chen, Siya Jia, Mengmeng Jiang, Mingyue Leng, Zhiwei Ma, Libing Sun, Yanxia Zhang, Ting Feng, Luzhao Yang, Weizhong Appl Math Model Article More than 30 months into the novel coronavirus 2019 (COVID-19) pandemic, efforts to bring this prevalence under control have achieved tentative achievements in China. However, the continuing increase in confirmed cases worldwide and the novel variants imply a severe risk of imported viruses. High-intensity non-pharmaceutical interventions (NPIs) are the mainly used measures of China's early response to COVID-19, which enabled effective control in the first wave of the epidemic. However, their efficiency is relatively low across China at the current stage. Therefore, this study focuses on whether measurable meteorological variables be found through global data to learn more about COVID-19 and explore flexible controls. This study first examines the control measures, such as NPIs and vaccination, on COVID-19 transmission across 189 countries, especially in China. Subsequently, we estimate the association between meteorological factors and time-varying reproduction numbers based on the global data by meta-population epidemic model, eliminating the aforementioned anthropogenic factors. According to this study, we find that the basic reproduction number of COVID-19 transmission varied wildly among Köppen-Geiger climate classifications, which is of great significance for the flexible adjustment of China's control protocols. We obtain that in southeast China, Köppen-Geiger climate sub-classifications, Cwb, Cfa, and Cfb, are more likely to spread COVID-19. In August, the R(SIM) of Cwb climate subclassification is about three times that of Dwc in April, which implies that the intensity of control efforts in different sub-regions may differ three times under the same imported risk. However, BSk and BWk, the most widely distributed in northwest China, have smaller basic reproduction numbers than Cfa, distributed in southeast coastal areas. It indicates that northwest China's control intensity could be appropriately weaker than southeast China under the same prevention objectives. Elsevier Inc. 2023-02 2022-10-03 /pmc/articles/PMC9528067/ /pubmed/36212726 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2022.09.008 Text en © 2022 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active. |
spellingShingle | Article Chen, Fangyuan Chen, Siya Jia, Mengmeng Jiang, Mingyue Leng, Zhiwei Ma, Libing Sun, Yanxia Zhang, Ting Feng, Luzhao Yang, Weizhong Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19 |
title | Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19 |
title_full | Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19 |
title_fullStr | Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19 |
title_full_unstemmed | Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19 |
title_short | Exploring meteorological impacts based on Köppen-Geiger climate classification after reviewing China's response to COVID-19 |
title_sort | exploring meteorological impacts based on köppen-geiger climate classification after reviewing china's response to covid-19 |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9528067/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36212726 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.apm.2022.09.008 |
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