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The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd
Whether, and under what conditions, groups exhibit “crowd wisdom” has been a major focus of research across the social and computational sciences. Much of this work has focused on the role of social influence in promoting the wisdom of the crowd versus leading the crowd astray and has resulted in co...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Nature Publishing Group UK
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9530231/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36192623 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-20551-7 |
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author | Almaatouq, Abdullah Rahimian, M. Amin Burton, Jason W. Alhajri, Abdulla |
author_facet | Almaatouq, Abdullah Rahimian, M. Amin Burton, Jason W. Alhajri, Abdulla |
author_sort | Almaatouq, Abdullah |
collection | PubMed |
description | Whether, and under what conditions, groups exhibit “crowd wisdom” has been a major focus of research across the social and computational sciences. Much of this work has focused on the role of social influence in promoting the wisdom of the crowd versus leading the crowd astray and has resulted in conflicting conclusions about how social network structure determines the impact of social influence. Here, we demonstrate that it is not enough to consider the network structure in isolation. Using theoretical analysis, numerical simulation, and reanalysis of four experimental datasets (totaling 2885 human subjects), we find that the wisdom of crowds critically depends on the interaction between (i) the centralization of the social influence network and (ii) the distribution of the initial individual estimates. By adopting a framework that integrates both the structure of the social influence and the distribution of the initial estimates, we bring previously conflicting results under one theoretical framework and clarify the effects of social influence on the wisdom of crowds. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9530231 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | Nature Publishing Group UK |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-95302312022-10-05 The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd Almaatouq, Abdullah Rahimian, M. Amin Burton, Jason W. Alhajri, Abdulla Sci Rep Article Whether, and under what conditions, groups exhibit “crowd wisdom” has been a major focus of research across the social and computational sciences. Much of this work has focused on the role of social influence in promoting the wisdom of the crowd versus leading the crowd astray and has resulted in conflicting conclusions about how social network structure determines the impact of social influence. Here, we demonstrate that it is not enough to consider the network structure in isolation. Using theoretical analysis, numerical simulation, and reanalysis of four experimental datasets (totaling 2885 human subjects), we find that the wisdom of crowds critically depends on the interaction between (i) the centralization of the social influence network and (ii) the distribution of the initial individual estimates. By adopting a framework that integrates both the structure of the social influence and the distribution of the initial estimates, we bring previously conflicting results under one theoretical framework and clarify the effects of social influence on the wisdom of crowds. Nature Publishing Group UK 2022-10-03 /pmc/articles/PMC9530231/ /pubmed/36192623 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-20551-7 Text en © The Author(s) 2022 https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/Open AccessThis article is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License, which permits use, sharing, adaptation, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, as long as you give appropriate credit to the original author(s) and the source, provide a link to the Creative Commons licence, and indicate if changes were made. The images or other third party material in this article are included in the article's Creative Commons licence, unless indicated otherwise in a credit line to the material. If material is not included in the article's Creative Commons licence and your intended use is not permitted by statutory regulation or exceeds the permitted use, you will need to obtain permission directly from the copyright holder. To view a copy of this licence, visit http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/) . |
spellingShingle | Article Almaatouq, Abdullah Rahimian, M. Amin Burton, Jason W. Alhajri, Abdulla The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd |
title | The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd |
title_full | The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd |
title_fullStr | The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd |
title_full_unstemmed | The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd |
title_short | The distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd |
title_sort | distribution of initial estimates moderates the effect of social influence on the wisdom of the crowd |
topic | Article |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9530231/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36192623 http://dx.doi.org/10.1038/s41598-022-20551-7 |
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