The Prognostic Value of Serum Apolipoprotein A-I Level and Neutrophil-to-Lymphocyte Ratio in Colorectal Cancer Liver Metastasis

BACKGROUND: Colorectal cancer liver metastasis (CRLM) is a high degree of malignancy with rapid disease progression and has a poor prognosis. Both serum apolipoprotein A-I (ApoA-I) and neutrophil-to-lymphocyte ratio (NLR) play key roles in anti-inflammation and antitumor. This study is aimed at evaluating the implication of serum ApoA-I level in combination with NLR in the prognosis of CRLM. METHODS: We retrospectively analyzed the serum ApoA-I level and NLR in 237 patients with CRLM. Cox regression analyses were used to identify the independent prognostic significance of these indicators. Kaplan-Meier method and Log-rank test were applied to compute overall survival (OS). Both the ApoA-I and NLR were divided into three levels, according to their medians. A risk-stratified prediction model was established to evaluate the prognosis of patients with CRLM. The ROC curve AUC values were applied to evaluate the capability of the model. RESULTS: Higher levels of ApoA-I and lower NLR were strongly associated with prolonged OS (Log-rank test, P < 0.05). The patients were then grouped into three queues according to the ApoA-I level and NLR. There was a crucial diversity in the OS (P < 0.001) between the high-risk (ApoA − I ≤ 1.03 g/L and NLR > 3.24), medium-risk (ApoA − I > 1.03 g/L or NLR ≤ 3.24) and low-risk groups (ApoA − I > 1.03 g/L and NLR ≤ 3.24). The AUC value of the prediction model (AUC = 0.623, 95% CI: 0.557-0.639, P = 0.001) was higher than other individual indicators (including ApoA-I, NLR, cT classification, and cN classification). Additionally, the association of the prediction model and cTN classification (AUC = 0.715, 95% CI: 0.606-0.708, P < 0.001) was better than the model and cTN classification alone. CONCLUSION: The combination of ApoA-I level and NLR could be a prognostic indicator for CRLM.