Plasma trimethylamine-N-oxide, its precursors and risk of cardiovascular events in patients with acute coronary syndrome: Mediating effects of renal function

AIMS: To examine associations of the gut microbial metabolite trimethylamine-N-oxide (TMAO) and its precursors with risk of cardiovascular events in acute coronary syndrome (ACS), and determine whether these associations were mediated by renal function. METHODS: In this prospective cohort study, we included 309 patients with ACS. During a mean follow-up of 6.7 years, 131 patients developed major adverse cardiovascular events (MACE) (myocardial infarction, hospitalization for heart failure, and all-cause mortality). Plasma concentrations of TMAO, trimethylamine (TMA), choline, betaine, dimethylglycine and L-carnitine were profiled by liquid chromatography tandem mass spectrometry. Hazard ratios were estimated with multivariable Cox regression models. The mediating role of estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was tested under a counterfactual framework. RESULTS: After adjustment for traditional cardiovascular risk factors and medications, participants in the highest tertile vs. the lowest tertile of baseline TMAO and dimethylglycine concentrations had a higher risk of MACE [(HR: 1.83; 95% CI: 1.08, 3.09) and (HR: 2.26; 95% CI: 1.17, 3.99), respectively]. However, with regards to TMAO these associations were no longer significant, whereas for dimethylglycine, the associations were attenuated after additional adjustment for eGFR. eGFR mediated the associations of TMAO (58%) and dimethylglycine (32%) with MACE incidence. The associations between dimethylglycine and incident MACE were confirmed in an internal validation. No significant associations were found for TMA, choline, betaine and L-carnitine. CONCLUSION: These findings suggest that renal function may be a key mediator in the association of plasma TMAO with the development of cardiovascular events after ACS. The present findings also support a role of dimethylglycine in the pathogenesis of MACE, which may be mediated, at least partially, by renal function.