A Three-Gene Signature for Predicting the Prognosis of Patients Treated with Transarterial Chemoembolization (TACE) and Identification of PD-184352 as a Potential Drug to Reverse Nonresponse to TACE

BACKGROUND: Transarterial chemoembolization (TACE) is a first-line treatment for patients with unresectable hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC). Owing to differences in its efficacy across individuals, determining the indicators of patient response to TACE and finding approaches to reversing nonresponse thereto are necessary. METHODS: Transcriptome data were obtained from the GSE104580 dataset, in which patients were marked as having TACE response or nonresponse. We identified differentially expressed genes (DEGs) and performed Kyoto Encyclopedia of Genes and Genomes (KEGG) analysis. We screened genes with a prognostic value for TACE in the HIF-1 signaling pathway by univariate regression analysis. By using least absolute shrinkage and selection operator (LASSO) Cox regression, we established a multigene signature in GSE14520, which we verified using a drug sensitivity test. The Connectivity Map (CMap) database was used to find potential drugs to reverse nonresponse to TACE. RESULTS: We constructed a prognostic signature consisting of three genes (erythropoietin (EPO), heme oxygenase 1 (HMOX1), and serine protease inhibitor 1 (SERPINE1)) that we validated by drug sensitivity test. After dividing patients treated with TACE into high- and low-risk groups based on this new signature, we showed that overall survival (OS) of the high-risk group was significantly lower than that of the low-risk group and that the risk score was an independent predictor of OS in patients treated with TACE. Based on our CMap findings, we speculated that PD-184352, an inhibitor of mitogen-activated protein kinase (MEK), had potential as a drug treatment to reverse nonresponse to TACE. We confirmed this speculation by using PD-184352 in a cell promotion experiment in a TACE environment. CONCLUSION: We constructed a TACE-specific three-gene signature that could be used to predict HCC patients' responses to and prognosis after TACE treatment. PD-184352 might have potential as a drug to improve TACE efficacy.