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Utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment

Using expectations regarding utilities to make decisions in a risk environment hides a paradox, which is called the expected utility enigma. Moreover, the mystery has not been solved yet; an imagined utility function on the risk-return plane has been applied to establish the mean-variance model, but...

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Autor principal: Wu, Kangping
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Springer Nature Singapore 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9549048/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36247805
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10473-022-0611-0
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author Wu, Kangping
author_facet Wu, Kangping
author_sort Wu, Kangping
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description Using expectations regarding utilities to make decisions in a risk environment hides a paradox, which is called the expected utility enigma. Moreover, the mystery has not been solved yet; an imagined utility function on the risk-return plane has been applied to establish the mean-variance model, but this hypothetical utility function not only lacks foundation, it also holds an internal contradiction. This paper studies these basic problems. Through risk preference VNM condition is proposed to solve the expected utility enigma. How can a utility function satisfy the VNM condition? This is a basic problem that is hard to deal with. Fortunately, it is found in this paper that the VNM utility function can have some concrete forms when individuals have constant relative risk aversion. Furthermore, in order to explore the basis of mean-variance utility, an MV function is founded that is based on the VNM utility function and rooted in underlying investment activities. It is shown that the MV function is just the investor’s utility function on the risk-return plane and that it has normal properties. Finally, the MV function is used to analyze the laws of investment activities in a systematic risk environment. In doing so, a tool, TRR, is used to measure risk aversion tendencies and to weigh risk and return.
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spelling pubmed-95490482022-10-11 Utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment Wu, Kangping Acta Math Sci Article Using expectations regarding utilities to make decisions in a risk environment hides a paradox, which is called the expected utility enigma. Moreover, the mystery has not been solved yet; an imagined utility function on the risk-return plane has been applied to establish the mean-variance model, but this hypothetical utility function not only lacks foundation, it also holds an internal contradiction. This paper studies these basic problems. Through risk preference VNM condition is proposed to solve the expected utility enigma. How can a utility function satisfy the VNM condition? This is a basic problem that is hard to deal with. Fortunately, it is found in this paper that the VNM utility function can have some concrete forms when individuals have constant relative risk aversion. Furthermore, in order to explore the basis of mean-variance utility, an MV function is founded that is based on the VNM utility function and rooted in underlying investment activities. It is shown that the MV function is just the investor’s utility function on the risk-return plane and that it has normal properties. Finally, the MV function is used to analyze the laws of investment activities in a systematic risk environment. In doing so, a tool, TRR, is used to measure risk aversion tendencies and to weigh risk and return. Springer Nature Singapore 2022-10-10 2022 /pmc/articles/PMC9549048/ /pubmed/36247805 http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10473-022-0611-0 Text en © Innovation Academy for Precision Measurement Science and Technology, Chinese Academy of Sciences 2022 This article is made available via the PMC Open Access Subset for unrestricted research re-use and secondary analysis in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for the duration of the World Health Organization (WHO) declaration of COVID-19 as a global pandemic.
spellingShingle Article
Wu, Kangping
Utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment
title Utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment
title_full Utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment
title_fullStr Utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment
title_full_unstemmed Utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment
title_short Utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment
title_sort utility basis of consumption and investment decisions in a risk environment
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9549048/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36247805
http://dx.doi.org/10.1007/s10473-022-0611-0
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