Prognostic Assessment of Interim F18-Fluorodeoxyglucose Positron Emission Tomography in Esophageal Cancer Treated With Chemoradiation With or Without Surgery

Purpose This study aimed to evaluate if the F18-fluorodeoxyglucose positron emission tomography (F18-FDG PET) response after two weeks of chemoradiation for locoregionally advanced esophageal cancer (staged Tumor (T) 3 and/or Nodes (N)+ Metastases (M) 0) was linked to the pathologic response for patients undergoing surgery, to disease-free survival (DFS) or overall survival (OS). Materials and Methods Between March 2006 and September 2017, 40 patients were prospectively enrolled in our study, gave written consent, and had PET scans performed before treatment and after two weeks of chemoradiation. One patient did not undergo his two-week PET without informing study coordinators and was excluded from analyses. Results The median age at diagnosis was 62 years. Seventy-two percent of patients had N+ disease. Median OS for the entire group was 24 months. Five-year overall survival was 17%. Survival curves for patients with no PET response, minor PET response, or good PET response overlapped and were not statistically different. For the 25 patients who underwent surgery, the positive predictive value (PPV) of the PET response relative to the pathologic response was 75% and the negative predictive value (NPV) was 62%. In study patients, the crude recurrence rate was 68% and there was no correlation between PET response and DFS. Conclusion In our study, interim PET response after two weeks of chemoradiation for locoregionally advanced esophageal cancer was not predictive of outcome or pathologic response. Based on our data and current literature, interim PET should not be used to alter treatment (whether to escalate neo-adjuvant treatment or omit surgery).