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Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics

The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has inflicted tremendous economic and societal losses. In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions, the population behavioral response, including situational awareness and adherence to non-pharmaceutical intervention policies, has a significant impact on contagion dy...

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Autores principales: Wan, Jinming, Ichinose, Genki, Small, Michael, Sayama, Hiroki, Moreno, Yamir, Cheng, Changqing
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: Elsevier Ltd. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9560911/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36275139
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112735
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author Wan, Jinming
Ichinose, Genki
Small, Michael
Sayama, Hiroki
Moreno, Yamir
Cheng, Changqing
author_facet Wan, Jinming
Ichinose, Genki
Small, Michael
Sayama, Hiroki
Moreno, Yamir
Cheng, Changqing
author_sort Wan, Jinming
collection PubMed
description The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has inflicted tremendous economic and societal losses. In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions, the population behavioral response, including situational awareness and adherence to non-pharmaceutical intervention policies, has a significant impact on contagion dynamics. Game-theoretic models have been used to reproduce the concurrent evolution of behavioral responses and disease contagion, and social networks are critical platforms on which behavior imitation between social contacts, even dispersed in distant communities, takes place. Such joint contagion dynamics has not been sufficiently explored, which poses a challenge for policies aimed at containing the infection. In this study, we present a multi-layer network model to study contagion dynamics and behavioral adaptation. It comprises two physical layers that mimic the two solitary communities, and one social layer that encapsulates the social influence of agents from these two communities. Moreover, we adopt high-order interactions in the form of simplicial complexes on the social influence layer to delineate the behavior imitation of individual agents. This model offers a novel platform to articulate the interaction between physically isolated communities and the ensuing coevolution of behavioral change and spreading dynamics. The analytical insights harnessed therefrom provide compelling guidelines on coordinated policy design to enhance the preparedness for future pandemics.
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spelling pubmed-95609112022-10-16 Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics Wan, Jinming Ichinose, Genki Small, Michael Sayama, Hiroki Moreno, Yamir Cheng, Changqing Chaos Solitons Fractals Article The ongoing COVID-19 pandemic has inflicted tremendous economic and societal losses. In the absence of pharmaceutical interventions, the population behavioral response, including situational awareness and adherence to non-pharmaceutical intervention policies, has a significant impact on contagion dynamics. Game-theoretic models have been used to reproduce the concurrent evolution of behavioral responses and disease contagion, and social networks are critical platforms on which behavior imitation between social contacts, even dispersed in distant communities, takes place. Such joint contagion dynamics has not been sufficiently explored, which poses a challenge for policies aimed at containing the infection. In this study, we present a multi-layer network model to study contagion dynamics and behavioral adaptation. It comprises two physical layers that mimic the two solitary communities, and one social layer that encapsulates the social influence of agents from these two communities. Moreover, we adopt high-order interactions in the form of simplicial complexes on the social influence layer to delineate the behavior imitation of individual agents. This model offers a novel platform to articulate the interaction between physically isolated communities and the ensuing coevolution of behavioral change and spreading dynamics. The analytical insights harnessed therefrom provide compelling guidelines on coordinated policy design to enhance the preparedness for future pandemics. Elsevier Ltd. 2022-11 2022-10-14 /pmc/articles/PMC9560911/ /pubmed/36275139 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112735 Text en © 2022 Elsevier Ltd. All rights reserved. Since January 2020 Elsevier has created a COVID-19 resource centre with free information in English and Mandarin on the novel coronavirus COVID-19. The COVID-19 resource centre is hosted on Elsevier Connect, the company's public news and information website. Elsevier hereby grants permission to make all its COVID-19-related research that is available on the COVID-19 resource centre - including this research content - immediately available in PubMed Central and other publicly funded repositories, such as the WHO COVID database with rights for unrestricted research re-use and analyses in any form or by any means with acknowledgement of the original source. These permissions are granted for free by Elsevier for as long as the COVID-19 resource centre remains active.
spellingShingle Article
Wan, Jinming
Ichinose, Genki
Small, Michael
Sayama, Hiroki
Moreno, Yamir
Cheng, Changqing
Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
title Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
title_full Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
title_fullStr Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
title_full_unstemmed Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
title_short Multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
title_sort multilayer networks with higher-order interaction reveal the impact of collective behavior on epidemic dynamics
topic Article
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9560911/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36275139
http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.chaos.2022.112735
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