The impact of merkel cell polyomavirus positivity on prognosis of merkel cell carcinoma: A systematic review and meta-analysis

INTRODUCTION: There are numerous findings over the past decade have indicated that Merkel cell carcinoma (MCC) may have two pathways of pathogenesis: one related to ultraviolet irradiation and the other to the Merkel cell polyomavirus (MCPyV). However, the predictive and clinicopathological value of MCPyV positivity in MCC patients is still debatable. This article aims to examine the most recent data regarding this issue. METHODS: The thorough literature searches were conducted in the Medline Ovid, PubMed, Web of Science, the Cochrane CENTRAL Databases, and Embase Databases until December 31, 2021. The associations between overall survival (OS), Merkel cell carcinoma-specific survival (MSS), recurrence-free survival (RFS), progression-free survival (PFS), clinicopathologic features, and MCPyV positivity were examined in our meta-analysis. RESULTS: This meta-analysis included a total of 14 studies involving 1595 patients. Our findings demonstrated a significant correlation between MCPyV positivity and improved OS (HR=0.61, 95%CI:0.39-0.94, P=0.026) and improved PFS (HR=0.61, 95% CI: 0.45-0.83, P=0.002). MCPyV positivity did not, however, appear to be associated with either MSS (HR=0.61, 95%CI: 0.28-1.32, P=0.209) or RFS (HR= 0.93, 95%CI: 0.37-2.34, P=0.873). Pooled results revealed a correlation between MCPyV positivity with gender (male vs. female, OR=0.606, 95%CI: 0.449-0.817, P=0.001), histopathological stage (AJCC I-II vs. III-IV, OR=1.636, 95%CI: 1.126-2.378, P=0.010) and primary site (head and neck vs. other sites, OR=0.409, 95%CI: 0.221-0.757, P=0.004). CONCLUSION: These results imply that MCPyV positivity may present a promising predictive biomarker for human MCC and call for further study.