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Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing
Traditional null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) incorporating the critical level of significance of 0.05 has become the cornerstone of decision‐making in health care, and nowhere less so than in obstetric and gynecological research. However, such practice is controversial. In particular, it...
Autores principales: | , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
John Wiley and Sons Inc.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9564801/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35451497 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aogs.14366 |
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author | Sedgwick, Philip M. Hammer, Anne Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler Pedersen, Lars Henning |
author_facet | Sedgwick, Philip M. Hammer, Anne Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler Pedersen, Lars Henning |
author_sort | Sedgwick, Philip M. |
collection | PubMed |
description | Traditional null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) incorporating the critical level of significance of 0.05 has become the cornerstone of decision‐making in health care, and nowhere less so than in obstetric and gynecological research. However, such practice is controversial. In particular, it was never intended for clinical significance to be inferred from statistical significance. The inference of clinical importance based on statistical significance (p < 0.05), and lack of clinical significance otherwise (p ≥ 0.05) represents misunderstanding of the original purpose of NHST. Furthermore, the limitations of NHST—sensitivity to sample size, plus type I and II errors—are frequently ignored. Therefore, decision‐making based on NHST has the potential for recurrent false claims about the effectiveness of interventions or importance of exposure to risk factors, or dismissal of important ones. This commentary presents the history behind NHST along with the limitations that modern‐day NHST presents, and suggests that a statistics reform regarding NHST be considered. |
format | Online Article Text |
id | pubmed-9564801 |
institution | National Center for Biotechnology Information |
language | English |
publishDate | 2022 |
publisher | John Wiley and Sons Inc. |
record_format | MEDLINE/PubMed |
spelling | pubmed-95648012022-12-06 Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing Sedgwick, Philip M. Hammer, Anne Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler Pedersen, Lars Henning Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand Controversies Traditional null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) incorporating the critical level of significance of 0.05 has become the cornerstone of decision‐making in health care, and nowhere less so than in obstetric and gynecological research. However, such practice is controversial. In particular, it was never intended for clinical significance to be inferred from statistical significance. The inference of clinical importance based on statistical significance (p < 0.05), and lack of clinical significance otherwise (p ≥ 0.05) represents misunderstanding of the original purpose of NHST. Furthermore, the limitations of NHST—sensitivity to sample size, plus type I and II errors—are frequently ignored. Therefore, decision‐making based on NHST has the potential for recurrent false claims about the effectiveness of interventions or importance of exposure to risk factors, or dismissal of important ones. This commentary presents the history behind NHST along with the limitations that modern‐day NHST presents, and suggests that a statistics reform regarding NHST be considered. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022-04-22 /pmc/articles/PMC9564801/ /pubmed/35451497 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aogs.14366 Text en © 2022 The Authors. Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Nordic Federation of Societies of Obstetrics and Gynecology (NFOG). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes. |
spellingShingle | Controversies Sedgwick, Philip M. Hammer, Anne Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler Pedersen, Lars Henning Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing |
title | Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing |
title_full | Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing |
title_fullStr | Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing |
title_full_unstemmed | Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing |
title_short | Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing |
title_sort | current controversies: null hypothesis significance testing |
topic | Controversies |
url | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9564801/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35451497 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aogs.14366 |
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