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Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing

Traditional null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) incorporating the critical level of significance of 0.05 has become the cornerstone of decision‐making in health care, and nowhere less so than in obstetric and gynecological research. However, such practice is controversial. In particular, it...

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Autores principales: Sedgwick, Philip M., Hammer, Anne, Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler, Pedersen, Lars Henning
Formato: Online Artículo Texto
Lenguaje:English
Publicado: John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9564801/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35451497
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aogs.14366
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author Sedgwick, Philip M.
Hammer, Anne
Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler
Pedersen, Lars Henning
author_facet Sedgwick, Philip M.
Hammer, Anne
Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler
Pedersen, Lars Henning
author_sort Sedgwick, Philip M.
collection PubMed
description Traditional null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) incorporating the critical level of significance of 0.05 has become the cornerstone of decision‐making in health care, and nowhere less so than in obstetric and gynecological research. However, such practice is controversial. In particular, it was never intended for clinical significance to be inferred from statistical significance. The inference of clinical importance based on statistical significance (p < 0.05), and lack of clinical significance otherwise (p ≥ 0.05) represents misunderstanding of the original purpose of NHST. Furthermore, the limitations of NHST—sensitivity to sample size, plus type I and II errors—are frequently ignored. Therefore, decision‐making based on NHST has the potential for recurrent false claims about the effectiveness of interventions or importance of exposure to risk factors, or dismissal of important ones. This commentary presents the history behind NHST along with the limitations that modern‐day NHST presents, and suggests that a statistics reform regarding NHST be considered.
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spelling pubmed-95648012022-12-06 Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing Sedgwick, Philip M. Hammer, Anne Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler Pedersen, Lars Henning Acta Obstet Gynecol Scand Controversies Traditional null hypothesis significance testing (NHST) incorporating the critical level of significance of 0.05 has become the cornerstone of decision‐making in health care, and nowhere less so than in obstetric and gynecological research. However, such practice is controversial. In particular, it was never intended for clinical significance to be inferred from statistical significance. The inference of clinical importance based on statistical significance (p < 0.05), and lack of clinical significance otherwise (p ≥ 0.05) represents misunderstanding of the original purpose of NHST. Furthermore, the limitations of NHST—sensitivity to sample size, plus type I and II errors—are frequently ignored. Therefore, decision‐making based on NHST has the potential for recurrent false claims about the effectiveness of interventions or importance of exposure to risk factors, or dismissal of important ones. This commentary presents the history behind NHST along with the limitations that modern‐day NHST presents, and suggests that a statistics reform regarding NHST be considered. John Wiley and Sons Inc. 2022-04-22 /pmc/articles/PMC9564801/ /pubmed/35451497 http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aogs.14366 Text en © 2022 The Authors. Acta Obstetricia et Gynecologica Scandinavica published by John Wiley & Sons Ltd on behalf of Nordic Federation of Societies of Obstetrics and Gynecology (NFOG). https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/This is an open access article under the terms of the http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/ (https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc/4.0/) License, which permits use, distribution and reproduction in any medium, provided the original work is properly cited and is not used for commercial purposes.
spellingShingle Controversies
Sedgwick, Philip M.
Hammer, Anne
Kesmodel, Ulrik Schiøler
Pedersen, Lars Henning
Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing
title Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing
title_full Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing
title_fullStr Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing
title_full_unstemmed Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing
title_short Current controversies: Null hypothesis significance testing
title_sort current controversies: null hypothesis significance testing
topic Controversies
url https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9564801/
https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/35451497
http://dx.doi.org/10.1111/aogs.14366
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