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Fractal–fractional age-structure study of omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant transmission dynamics
This paper proposes a new fractal–fractional age-structure model for the omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant under the Caputo–Fabrizio fractional order derivative. Caputo–Fabrizio fractal–fractional order is particularly successful in modelling real-world phenomena due to its repeated memory effect and abili...
Autores principales: | , , , , |
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Formato: | Online Artículo Texto |
Lenguaje: | English |
Publicado: |
Published by Elsevier B.V.
2022
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Materias: | |
Acceso en línea: | https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC9576209/ https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pubmed/36277845 http://dx.doi.org/10.1016/j.padiff.2022.100455 |
Sumario: | This paper proposes a new fractal–fractional age-structure model for the omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant under the Caputo–Fabrizio fractional order derivative. Caputo–Fabrizio fractal–fractional order is particularly successful in modelling real-world phenomena due to its repeated memory effect and ability to capture the exponentially decreasing impact of disease transmission dynamics. We consider two age groups, the first of which has a population under 50 and the second of a population beyond 50. Our results show that at a population dynamics level, there is a high infection and recovery of omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant infection among the population under 50 (Group-1), while a high infection rate and low recovery of omicron SARS-CoV-2 variant infection among the population beyond 50 (Group-2) when the fractal–fractional order is varied. |
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